Nobody can say, how long the pandemics last
One of the biggest problems with epidemics is that we don't know when it will end. So that would make the effect of the epidemic on the economics very hard to predict. And because we cannot get a certain time, when the epidemics would be ended, that thing causes quandary in this case.
The thing is that the epidemics always would subside. But how long it would take before it will be quiet is always a mystery. There are examples of epidemics that stood years, and then they suddenly disappear, like they ever been existed.
The worst reported pandemics Spanish Flu(1) caused 500 million deaths and that epidemic was caused by the virus, which is similar to H1N1. But there might be even worse cases in history, what is ever reported as pandemics because people didn't know that some diseases were caused by viruses. And some other epidemics were lasting a couple of months, and then they relaxing has been happening quietly, that the number of infections decreased slowly.
When we are thinking about economics that thing needs stable or at least predictable conditions, that it would operate properly. And the worst thing that could happen to the market area is to sit and wait that something happens an uncertain time. But what is even worse is risk human lives with that virus.
If we are thinking about the hope, that everything would be over by eastern, we must realize that those predictions are far too optimistic, and the thing is that the suffering economics is better than dying people. So the problem with the virus is that we cannot order it to stop suffuse that we can go shopping and buy a couple of chocolate eggs for Eastern.
But what is the best thing, what we can do? Avoiding human contact is the best way to avoid infection. And the thing is that human life would come first. When we are thinking about COVID 19 there is the thing, that we should have predicted this kind of threat. This is not the first pandemics, but then we must realize that there is no right decision in that kind of situation.
If we would execute the quarantine orders a couple of months before epidemics, that thing might deny entire epidemics. And that thing causes always critics because we would not know what would be done if we would act otherwise. In those cases, we would hear, how many financial losses the overreaction causes, because the nation would put in the unnecessary quarantine.
But without quarantine, the viruses can suffuse without resistance. And things like people, who are coming to the homeland from the foreign lands can suffuse viruses. The reason why Italy is in the worst situation in Europe is that there are so many tourists. And if the people would change their airplane in some airfield, the viruses would transfer to other persons also in the transit flights.
But the thing is that people would not be suspicious, that they have some exotic virus if they are feeling a little bit cold. Every virus causes similar symptoms at the beginning of the disease. This thing makes combat against viruses difficult. If we would close our borders, that thing can avoid epidemics, but the problem with viruses is that they can also infect ambassadors and own land citizens if they are at a foreign land.
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