"Kamikaze-pilots" and coronavirus are a good example of "Black Swan" phenomenon
1) "Kamikaze" is one of the best examples for "Black Swan" effect
"Black Swan" is the unexpected thing, what just happens. One of the best examples was the case when a group of terrorists made "kamikaze-attack" against the buildings in the USA. All scenarios against that kind of situation were made for the cases, that terrorists wanted to survive in their actions.
Another "Black Swan" that is involved in the war happened in 1944 to 1945 in the Pacific War. When the first "Zero"-fighters impacted allied ships near the Gulf of Leyte, that thing was thought of as the accident, but then those things were proven for made by the purpose.
1.2) No one on board of Allied ships couldn't predict that two "Zero" fighters impacted to the deck of an aircraft carrier in purpose.
The aircraft, what was chosen for that attack was Mitsubishi A6M5 "Zero" fighter, what was the fighter, what usually was not used in the bombing missions. This gave the commander of the squadron the perfect surprise and that shows how dangerous that thing could be, and today some old fighters could be modified to drones and used in this kind of mission. But the Japanese model was manned missile, which gave the allied reason for using the atom bomb.
That thing was that the Japanese made "Kamikaze-attacks" against Allied ships in that area. The "Kamikaze-attacks" came fully surprisingly to the Navy and the thing is that those attacks caused horrifying damages and losses to the Allied side, and the thing was that nobody predicted that somebody would just guide the aircraft to impact the ship.
Every tactic was made to follow the rule, that the attacker wanted to survive in the attack and the thing that the attacker would sacrifice themselves in the attack. The idea of the "Kamikaze" was that only one person can destroy the entire aircraft carrier, and the price of that mission was the life of one pilot and one aircraft.
The relation, in this case, was good, if we are thinking about the loss of enemy and losses of own side. But this thing is too brutal for military forces, and the "Kamikaze" was left for one of the most extraordinary and frightening tactics in the world. One of the versions of the "Kamikaze" tactics was that the suicide pilots were flown with normal pilots, which made those tactics more deadly, but most of the "Kamikaze" pilots were the men, who could pull the aircraft up to air and then fly it to impact it to enemy ships.
The next part handles pandemics. So there is no other connection between the upper part than it handles prediction for the unexpected epidemics.
2) The pandemics need the prediction
The thing is that nobody couldn't predict that the coronavirus would cause this kind of epidemic. Pandemics causes always problems for an economic situation and the thing, what makes these kinds of problems very big is that predicting this kind of thing is very difficult, and if we would want to make the prediction, we must describe, what is the time, what the prediction must handle?
We all knew that the pandemics would come, but we didn't know when it would be real. And that means that we didn't have real purpose or motivation for creating the plans for this kind of situation, and the plans are urgent.
If we want to make the tools to handle the epidemics, that thing means that there must be made the real plans for that kind of situation. And there must be some kind of equipment stored for handling that kind of thing. Without equipment and properly training everything is useless.
2.1) Lawmakers need information, which is effective and gives good advice.
When we are making laws to handle epidemics, we must realize that in those cases the laws and other kinds of systems, are needed to make following the things, that specialists are telling. The lawmakers and leaders need precise and highly qualified information for making rules for the actions, which is precise and effective.
The problem with epidemics is that this kind of thing might happen once in a lifetime. Epidemics are rising and lost. That is the fact, and if we would store the equipment like gas masks or protective clothes, the thing is possible that there is no need for that equipment and everybody hopes that thing is real.
In the cases that that equipment is needed, but they do not exist, that thing causes the effect, which could be devastating. But if the equipment is stored in some warehouses, and there is no use for that in about tens of years, that thing can cause that somebody just starts to use those stuff for some other purposes. And then someday some very sick person comes out from the aircraft.
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