Who would survive in the nuclear war?

Nuclear weapons are the most terrifying weapons on our planet. And that's why those weapons exist. The purpose of nuclear weapons is to prevent war. And that's why some nations developed nuclear weapons. But the fact is that if nuclear weapons existed, there is always the possibility that somebody uses those weapons. 

Some people say that nuclear weapons are a shield. That allows governments to do anything that they want if they have nuclear stockpiles. And this is why we should take any threats to use nuclear weapons seriously. 

Public doctrines of those weapons are always similar. No state that owns nuclear weapons is not going to use them at the first. But the reality is that the beginning of global thermonuclear warfare is in a situation where another side of conflict seems that it must use nuclear weapons against the enemy. 

The first strike will happen when own conventional troops cannot win the conflict. And then the next step is the use of tactical nuclear weapons. The opponent will answer to that strike with their weapons. And then somebody shoots some other nuclear state. So the beginning of global thermonuclear warfare is in the tense international situation. 

Things like stealth systems make the warning time for those strikes very short. And that thing can cause the commander to misunderstand the situation in the command center. When the command center sees that something comes suddenly into the atmosphere. They must confirm what is coming. Is that object a nuclear weapon or harmless space junk? 

Things like possible FOBS (Fractional Orbital Bombardment System), which means orbital nuclear weapons are causing the possibility that the commander makes the wrong analysis. The FOBS weapon is not always a megaton-size nuke. 

It's only the satellite where is a nuclear bomb. And that thing makes those weapons very frightening.

FOBS weapons are prohibited. But there is a possibility that some nations have those systems. 

The purpose of FOBS can be to destroy the enemy's electric system. In that case, the system is acting as an EMP weapon that detonated in a high atmosphere. The EMP weapon is not as harmless as we think. It can drop large numbers of aircraft, jam communication, and traffic networks, and destroy things like civilian computers. That kind of weapon can also destroy computers that are operating nuclear reactors. Those things can cause many casualties. 

That kind of weapon can destroy Air Force One, and the death of the president can cause a situation where the commander must react to the nuclear threat. But those kinds of weapons also deliver radioactive pollution into the high atmosphere. 

Or the target of that weapon is the command bunkers. The fact is that task force commanders cannot just expect that some object that falls from the sky is automatically harmless. And when the commander must decide on the counterstrike in minutes. That very stressful situation causes the possibility that the task force commander presses the red button. 

The nuclear war is like all other wars. If we are thinking about the people who would injure because of strikes. The launching personnel who are in deep underground launching bunkers can survive because they must make their job. And that thing is a counterstrike. But the biggest group of casualties that the nuclear strike makes are civilians. Normal civilians have no protective suits. Or their shelters are not made to protect them against nuclear winter. 

The nuclear war requires lots of food inside the shelter. Because the ground is poisoned by radioactive fallout. The temperature on Earth will collapse very soon after the global nuclear war. And a large part of people and animals will die because of radioactive fallout. The nuclear winter means the political and environmental situation that follows nuclear war. 

The next thing that follows a nuclear strike is the fallout. The military personnel has their NBC (Nuclear, Biological, and Chemical) protective suits. And those suits protect them against nuclear particles. Those suits are protecting the lungs and skin from radioactive dust, but those suits are not protecting the users against straight radioactive radiation. But things like water and food are the big problem. 

https://bigthink.com/life/who-what-survives-nuclear-war/

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About attacks against cyber guerillas

About attacks against cyber guerillas

Cyber attacks are the new threat to national security, and they are effective tools for delivering propaganda and embarrassing the opponent. Normal propaganda tactics, what the propaganda operators use is to get as many Facebook, and why not other social media accounts in use and they would get as many connections as possible to those attacks. And when the time has come, they would start to deliver propaganda by using those accounts, and even if those accounts will be closed, the cleaning that material from service takes a very long time.

When we are thinking the back-operations against cyber, and troll accounts, attacking to those cyber guerillas must be done by using the same force, what they use. That means that the new version of the combat would be epic troll battle between those nations. The cyber guerillas are the new kind of operators in the network. Those persons are attacking other people by using disinformation like fake news to get sympathy, and also they would use manipulated information for causing the situation, that some other nation attacks to their enemies.

Disinformation and manipulated information are the greatest threat in the modern world. The thing is that the faked information might not be separated from reality. In the worst situation, the recon images of some area are manipulated by using Photoshop, and there might involve the mobile missile sites or images of Auschwitz, which are introduced as the images from some modern conflict, what mission is to cause the attack against that target.

But when we are thinking about the attacks against cyber bandits, the use of missiles and aircraft might feel a simple and effective solution.  When the aircraft are destroying the headquarters of the cyber attackers, that kind of operations might not have any effect about the group itself. The persons who are operating those cyberattacks might use remote-controlled computers, which are controlled over the Internet by using a VPN connection, which allows the operators to sit even to another side of the Atlantic ocean.

And in the worst case, those computers are taken there without the people, who are living in those houses what means that the airstrikes can kill innocent civilians. Civilian casualties are things, what terrorists would want because that gives sympathy for them, and when we are thinking about houses in somewhere restless areas, those servers and computers can be used also delivering "deep web" material. That means that normal criminals can buy the needed material for terrorists, and give them the needed micro support. And for the return service, those people can deliver prohibited and illegal data to the Internet.

This is the reason, why police would use SWAT-team in that kind of actions. Then those law enforcements can take fingerprints and other evidence from those devices, what will be destroyed in an airstrike by the bombs, and there is very few evidence, what can be collected from the destroyed site.

The most qualified persons with the best ICT-skills of that organizations would ever sit on those places. Airstrike will kill those people, who might only copypaste things or follow the orders, what somebody will give them by using some social media application.

The rule in those cyber operations is similar to other military actions are they legal or illegal. The field team ever knows important things. But they can notice if the person who is another side of social media application speaks or writes something with strange ways, or uses some strange words, what would uncover the identity of those supporters or control team. If a person is tired that inmate can give own email address accidentally in the discussions in the social media.

One wrong name in the discussions might uncover the identity of the speaker. So the idea of the strikes must be that there is something, what can be used to track the people, who have bought those computers, and the thing is that the supporters of those groups would be tracked by using the information, like serial numbers of microchips.