What if Russian banks will be closed out from the SWIFT system?

 

The closing out from SWIFT means that there are no money transfers between those banks and other banks. That thing is devastating for the economy. And maybe that allows blocking the money transfer between Vladimir Putin's inner circle and other countries. That will limit those people's ability to operate at western marketing. 

Even Standard&Poors warned Europe about the influence of the sanctions. We must remember that economics is not an independent thing. When people are seeing that some nation is acting brutally. That causes antipathy. And today things like social media are very good tools to share information. That information can be right or wrong. But the thing is that thing will influence to invest to that country. 

Today is not possible to hide the membership in companies that have connections with Oligarchs. Even if we want to see that business is business we must remember that business with the wrong people can cause boycotts. A negative reputation is also damaged business. 

When we are thinking about the authoritarian government there is always possible that the authorities will seize investments by using some excuse. And that means the money is gone. But if the business is not tolerated. because things like production are against human rights. That thing costs also very lot of money. A lost reputation is a very expensive thing. 

Economics is always connected with politics. That a nation or country is following. We are all humans. And one aspect that is dominating marketing is psychology. If we are seeing that the police of some countries are using unnecessary violence. Or some other country will start unnecessary or injustice warfare that affects people's attitude. And attitudes cause boycotts. 

The problem with sanctions is that they might affect ordinary Russians, not Vladimir Putin. The thing is that the sanctions because of the Ukraine situation are necessary. But the thing is that we know that there is always the risk that the sanctions would not work. The nuclear weapons of Russia guarantee that the military actions against that country will not happen. But economical sanctions can affect at least the regular people. And maybe they are starting to see Putin in a different light. 

The problem is how powerful actions the sanctions include? Could the net attack against Russians be effective? Full close to the high-tech sanctions could cause Western mobile telephones not to get necessary updates because computer codes are also prohibited. Or those telephones will shut down. That situation would affect regular people. But do they affect the Russian business elite and Putin's inner circle? 

We know that Putin wants to finish his campaign in Ukraine very fast. And then that man believes that the focus of the world would turn away from Ukraine when there are more interesting things. So he might just believe that the world will not remember that attack. 

When we are thinking about things like the isolation of Russia, we must remember that we must not wait for the cold war. The cold war is already here. The thing is that economic sanctions are the thing that should give a message that the actions. like an attack on Ukraine is not tolerated by other countries. 

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Why Russian agents attacked Skribal?

Why Russian agents attacked Skribal?

Trump has ordered new sanctions against Russia because of the Novochoke-case, where 5 persons were injured, and two of them were dead. Attackers have been claimed to being high-ranking GRU officials or at least another one has ranked as colonel, if we would believe about Wikipedia in this case.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Poisoning_of_Sergei_and_Yulia_Skripal

The attack against Sergei Skribal is a very complicated thing. The attackers used poison, which connects the case straight to the Russian government. And the men who made that strike were recognized to GRU agents. Those things, unfortunately, show that the person, who is behind that attentate is working in the Russian government. This Skripal attentate has similarities with the Polonium-murder, where the ex-KGB agent has been murdered by using Polonium-210, which is very highly radioactive material.

And there are two possibilities. One of them is that the Russian government is behind those cases or the Russian laboratories would have security leak. If those materials like Novichoke and Polonium would get to wrong hands, the results will be devastating.

This is a very interesting thing, which has damaged the relationship between Russia and the Western World. And the thing is that even if the Russian government confess that it has nothing to do with that crime, the actors, in this case, were identified and easy to connect with the crime.

This is the thing, what wonders me. Why those men used poison named "Novichoke"? And why they didn't even try to hide their tracks? Did Russians or the persons, who were behind that action think, that the nobody even dares to say a thing about this case?

When we are thinking about the weapons that were used, we must ask, why those killers didn't choose assault rifles or some normal poison like Ricin? Those things could not so easily be connected to the Russian authorities? This kind of actions is really bad for the reputation of any government in the world. So who gave orders about this strike? Those people, who made this crime didn't operate by their motion.

If those murders would be done by using the assault rifle, that thing could be explained about the personal revenge against Skripal. In that case, the killer could claim that Skribal has made something to self while that man worked in KGB, and then the thing would not so easy to connect to the Russian government.

Sometimes when I think about the relationship, what KGB had to power, there could be persons even in the highest positions in Russian security and governmental authorities would be found men and women, whose career that service destroyed during Soviet era. Those people might have the opportunity to hide their past when the Soviet Union collapsed in 1991.

So could there some person, who has something hidden in the past, what has something to do with Skripal? This kind of things are very important things and this kind of cases must be solved because if some government kills people, who are against its policy, must the other nations give a signal that this kind of things is not tolerated. And if the hardcore killing chemicals and radioactive material can be stolen from the laboratories, that thing can cause risk for many people.