Wednesday, November 16, 2022

NATO:s executive secretary Stoltenberg said. "‘Missile hit to Poland likely caused by Ukraine. But it's not Ukraine’s fault" .



The fact is that even if the shooter of those missiles were Ukraine, that doesn't change the situation that Russia is the attacker. And without a Russian attack, nobody even launched those missiles. 

The fact is that Russian troops can launch those missiles even if they were not in Russian territory. And here I mean that the launchers of those missiles could be in Belarus. The thing is that the Russian attacks are serious things. And we must follow how the situation advances in Ukraine. 

But there is always the possibility that some agent or infiltrator will launch missiles from Ukraine. And the motive for those strikes could be simple: stop the weapon aid to Ukraine. Here I mean that even if those missiles were launched by Ukrainians the order for those actions could come from Russian high commanders. 

China rejected Russia in the G-20 meeting. But China said that "China says Russia cannot be expelled from G20". (https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-10643219/China-says-Russia-expelled-G20-suggested-excluded.html)

Frenship between Russia and China is breaking. The thing is that sooner or later the support for Russia would cause very big costs for China. If the economic sanctions on Russia will escalate to China. That causes very big problems for that state. Things like China's policy with Taiwan causes also political pressure on Chinese products.  China is not Western-style democracy and there are many internal problems. 

The Chinese government does not tolerate opposition or ethnic minorities. And that causes pressure on Western political leaders who always highlight how democratic countries we are. The problem is that even if we are democratic and very tolerant in our countries we are supporting governments that are not following the Western way to make things. And now we pay price because of that policy, 

But even if China might see Putin otherwise very comfortable the big losses in Ukraine show that the Russian war machine is something wrong. And the reason for that is that the position of V. Putin is uncertain. The fact is that even if Putin continues in his office there could be changes in his cabinet. 

And if the contact person in Putin's cabinet falls into disfavor it can cause problems for all actors in the value chain. So even if Putin continues in office there are very windy times in Russia during and after the Ukrainian conflict. 


If China would give pressure Putin. That thing can make peace or demarcation in Ukraine closer. 


https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-10643219/China-says-Russia-expelled-G20-suggested-excluded.html


https://www.express.co.uk/news/world/1697389/nato-Jens-Stoltenberg-poland-missile-attack-russia-ukraine-putin-war


https://www.mtvuutiset.fi/artikkeli/ukraina-vaatii-kumppaneiltaan-selitysta-siita-miksi-ne-epailevat-puolassa-ukrainalaisohjusta-itse-valmis-todistamaan-ohjuksen-venalaisjaljista/8572780#gs.idzyzu


https://www.mtvuutiset.fi/artikkeli/professori-g20-maiden-lausunto-paljastaa-etta-kiina-hylkasi-venajan-merkittava-lapimurto/8572680


https://www.mtvuutiset.fi/artikkeli/mika-aaltola-puolan-ohjusrajahdyksen-kaltaisia-sodan-ylilaikkymisia-saatetaan-nahda-lisaa/8571708


https://www.mtvuutiset.fi/artikkeli/suora-lahetys-klo-13-30-nain-nato-kommentoi-puolan-ohjusrajahdysta/8572574#gs.idy7dk


https://www.theguardian.com/world/video/2022/nov/16/polish-missile-strike-likely-caused-by-ukraine-but-not-ukraines-fault-says-stoltenberg-video


http://curiosityanddarkmatter.home.blog/2022/11/16/natos-executive-secretary-stoltenberg-said-missile-hit-to-poland-likely-caused-by-ukraine-but-its-not-ukraines-fault/

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