The problem for Putin is that losers have no friends.

China's complicated relationship with Russia is an interesting thing. 

The thing that the government of China is afraid of is that Putin's fall makes pressure on it. That pressure can come from outside in the form of sanctions. Or it can be internal pressure, and the major question with PLA (People's Liberation Army) is are its equipment is more capable than Russian equipment. Can the Chinese military systems make any better work than the Russian military? They should be better if PLA wants to use them in military operations.  

The question is: why China stays with Putin?  Russia turns weaker. And that offers a change. That China can get something from that land. There is a possibility that China wants some economic benefit for its support. Or even to expand its area. 

Putin and Xi ensure that their cooperation continues. But what is the price of that cooperation? China is very clever in taking benefits in the global arena. And when we are thinking about the cooperation between China and Russia, we know that China will not give that support freely. There is a price that Putin must pay for that support. 

And the problem with China is that many Western companies are making their products there. The thing is that China was afraid that if Putin falls. The next thing that China faces is sanctions. The Ukrainian conflict offers that the world's attention turns to Ukraine. And that offers China to make aggression against Taiwan. But also Chinese actions like being willing to expand its territorial waters in the South China Sea are things. That caused problems for the position of China in its international relationships. 

Putin's problem is that he began the war. And another thing is that Putin loses the war. If Ukraine would be an attacker, the loss would be more accepted than in this case. But the most embarrassing thing is that attacker is losing the war. 

The old rule in the fight is that when somebody starts the fight, that thing requires fighting skills. If those skills are lost that thing causes an embarrassing situation. In case when somebody begins war and then loses that thing, that person will turn to weight. 

This is the thing with Vladimir Putin. It is suspicious that his countdown is going. And that means there could be very big changes in Russia after Putin's death. Nobody believes that Putin will step away from power voluntarily. 

Maybe mysterious deaths near Putin are the reason for that dirty game behind coulisses. But the question is what comes after Putin? Would the government of Russia change? Or would the internal security authorities try to keep power in their hands after Putin is gone? 

The thing, that brought Putin in order was that many people in the security service wanted to return to the Soviet Union. They believed that the security service was elite. And they wanted to keep their regalia. Those people decide that Putin was Right mon for rule Russia. 

And then somebody told Putin what that man wanted to hear. There is the possibility that the reports of the strike capacity of the troops are fake. Maybe those people who might be very corrupted made those reports from their heads. So the Russian strike capacity can be pure imagination at least in conventional troops. 

The biggest problem with Russia is its nuclear weapons. They can slip into the wrong hands. There is also the possibility that Putin tries to use those weapons. 

But the fact is that even though Putin can continue as president the damages that the Ukrainian conflict caused to the Russian military are priceless. The material that the Russians lost is hard to replace. And another thing is that the Russian military cannot replace the senior officers who died in Ukraine. 

There is a possibility that those men were 25-30 when they joined the Russian military in 1991 after the collapse of the Soviet Union. They are now at the age where they should start to train their successors. And if those people have died they cannot transfer their knowledge to the next generation. 

So this loss in Ukraine can cause damage to the Russian military for a long time. And that thing is a very bad loss for the authority of the Russian government. We must prepare that the disintegration process that began in the Soviet Union continues in Russia. 

Even if the military aggression against Ukraine ends Russian military will not be the same in Putin's lifetime. The problem is that this man started to dream about the return of the Soviet Union. And he made a bad mistake. We must hope that the successor of Putin is not dreaming about the return of the Soviet Union. 

https://yle.fi/uutiset/3-12626192

https://www.mtvuutiset.fi/artikkeli/putin-ja-xi-vakuuttivat-yhteistyon-jatkuvan-mutta-valit-rakoilevat-mita-jarkea-seisoa-heikentyvan-venajan-rinnalla/8514046#gs.ciq71a

https://everyactioncausesthereaction.wordpress.com/2022/09/15/the-problem-for-putin-is-that-losers-have-no-friends/