Social withdrawal is one of the things that is causing discussions.

When we see persons who are social withdrawal. We must ask one very important question. Are those people alone, because of their own will, or are they kicked out from the team? If the person is somehow different, that thing can cause other people to want to close them out from their group. 

That thing can cause very big trauma for people who are trying to be social. If the only answer for the person who tries to come to talk with other people is silence or some "get lost" that thing can cause that person would not even want to talk with other people. The reason for social withdrawal can be that person gets bad feedback during the first years in school. 

Social withdrawal is one example of the things like complicated psychiatric diseases like autism and schizophrenia. There is a genetic disorder behind those things. And the fact is that autism and schizophrenia are the most complicated psychiatrical disorders in the world. There is the possibility that an autist would not say a thing in the day, but the same person can play some symphony after hearing it once. Or otherwise, an artist can draw a perfect copy of the things by seeing them only once. 

People like Albert Einstein claimed to have Asperger's syndrome. Which is one version of autism.  Schizophrenia is even more problematic than autism. There are remarkable people like John Nash and J. Robert Oppenheimer that had schizophrenia.

Also the father of the Soviet hydrogen bomb, Andrei Sakharov had schizophrenia. But there is suspicion that the KGB made that diagnosis for political reasons. Schizophrenic people can see things differently. But that diagnosis is also used for delivering people to work camps in the Soviet Union. 

The thing that causes social withdrawal in the cases when a person has schizophrenia is that those people are stigmatized as dangerous. In the cases of mental disorders, people are connecting those things with school shootings and other kinds of criminal behavior. The media makes sure that people know if some serial killer has some kind of mental disorder and that thing causes social isolation. 

The fact is that the autistic person's ability to communicate with other people is limited. Social contacts stress them because they must use more energy for being social.  And that thing causes problems with social contacts, and those people need also positive feedback for their attempts to make social relationships. 

Maybe medicals can also help, but social contacts are not replaced by using some chemicals. But what would you do if all answers that you get, when you try to discuss with other people are some kind of "get lost"? Would you want to make contact with other people after those things? 

https://scitechdaily.com/new-model-helps-unravel-complex-psychiatric-disorders-such-as-autism-and-schizophrenia/

https://scitechdaily.com/scientists-uncover-the-biological-causes-of-social-withdrawal/

Quantum cryptography makes it possible to create unbreakable codes.

 

Things like BlowFish and TwoFish encryption are been begin to the development of quantum cryptology. The virtual model of quantum encryption uses the series of prime numbers along with some other numbers. For the multiplication of the ASCII codes. 

Those prime numbers can be so-called quantum prime numbers, and they can be decimal numbers that are involving thousands of numbers. So the creation of those numbers is difficult. But quantum computers changed the game. They can create those quantum prime numbers in a very short period. 

Quantum cryptology is like the use of imaginary numbers to create an encryption algorithm. But in the real quantum encryption process, the encryption key is stored in a physical form called a qubit. The qubits are physical components, and the hackers cannot get data from them without destroying those qubits. 

The thing that makes the quantum system very secure. Qubits can be photons, electrons, protons, quarks, or some ions. The information will load to qubit and the breaker must know, what is the thing that forms qubit? If the qubit is made by using protons the system cannot open data if it uses electrons or photons as qubits. The decoding key can be stored as an example in the Einsteinium ions and then the receiving system can get the decoding key from the quantum USB memory. 

In real cryptology, nobody sends the decoding key by using radio transmission. Same way as in binary systems. In quantum systems, the system can store decoding algorithms in quantum USB. Which is the thermos bottle where qubits are stored. And then the courier will connect that quantum USB to the system. 

There is made research for securing data transmissions by using ultra-radioactive isotopes. The highly radioactive isotope that exists for only a couple of seconds can use as crystals in oscillation circuits. When massage has left. Warming of the circuit destroys those crystals. 

If the decoding key is stored in the short-living radioactive ions those systems can be unbreakable. And the reason for that is the receiving system must know what kind of qubits is used for storing the encryption key.

Even if atoms or ions cannot use to transmit data in the quantum processors they can use to store the encryption keys. If the receiving system needs to open a message it requires the information on what kind of qubit the transmitting system used. 

Those quantum communication systems might have thermos bottles where the qubits that are storing qubits that are involving the decoding algorithms. The system must know what is the bottle. And where are certain qubits? And the transmitting system can say that the "decoding algorithm is in bottle 4". 

The algorithm can be stored in the short-living radioactive ions or atoms. And when it's downloaded to the system. The high temperature makes that ion vanish because of radioactive breakup. The system must not know what kind of qubit the data is stored. And short-living radioactive isotopes can be stored at zero kelvin temperature. 

The quantum encryption system can involve multiple internal systems. And the reason why it can use highly radioactive isotopes in ultra-secured data transmissions is that those isotopes are dangerous to handle. And that's why nobody can steal them. In some visions, the quantum systems could use antimatter as the qubits. When the system used that qubit, it will destroy it immediately. 

https://www.thetimes.co.uk/article/quantum-cryptography-raises-possibility-of-unbreakable-codes-jrxx8mw20

https://miraclesofthequantumworld.blogspot.com/

The question about the health of Putin

There are lots of discussions about the health of Vladimir Putin. The image above is taken from the Finnish media. You can see two bruises on both sides of the nose just between the nose and eye. There seems to be some kind of pothole in the middle of those bruises. 

Another remarkable thing is that Putin seems too young like his skin would be elongated. The blood vessels are visible. And skin seems to be like paper. So is there some kind of plastic surgery behind those skin anomalies? But the bruises are a different thing. 

They can tell that Putin has some blood cancer. Normally bruises are along with fatigue marks of blood cancer. Or another thing that can cause this thing is liver cancer. If Putin used too much alcohol that thing can cause cirrhosis.

And if the drinking doesn't end that thing causes cancer or gangrene in the liver. The liver cleans the entire blood, and if there is cancer it will spread all over the body very soon. 

And that makes liver cancer so deadly. Even if cancer can be destroyed from the liver that cancer type sends the epithelium tissue all around the body. The epithelium consists of living cancer cells. And they can cause metastasis all around the body. So does Putin have cancer? That thing is a mystery. 

And even if Putin has cancer, that doesn't mean that nobody dares to tell that thing to Putin himself. Another thing is that maybe Putin started the war in Ukraine because he wanted that people are not talking about his successor of Putin. And maybe Putin wanted to turn people's attention away from his health. Maybe there is the infight going on in Russia. If that thing is true, the war will be a good place for hiding executions. All victims can claim being killed in the war. 

Sources: https://www.msn.com/fi-fi/uutiset/ulkomaat/professori-arvioi-vladimir-putin-on-menett%C3%A4m%C3%A4ss%C3%A4-hallinnan/

Stealth is the race of domination.

Image 1:) Su-35 during exercise

The Russian military claims that its Su-35 jets are sweeping out Ukrainian S-300 system missiles. There is no concrete evidence that this thing is done, but Su-35 is one of the most powerful jet fighters in the world. The Ukrainian war makes it possible that western researchers can get Russian fighters in their hands. 

And maybe Ukrainians are allowed to get the best Western weapons if they give access to the Russian jet fighters that are shot down or captured. One of the reasons why the Russians would not want to jam the GPS is claimed that Russians use that system themselves. But the problem with that scenario is that Western operators will know the position of every single Russian fighter. 

What researchers can get from that debris? They can get serial numbers of the GPS that is connected to the cockpit of the Su-35. That serial number can connect with credit cards. That used to buy that system. And another thing that trash can tell Western operators is where the microchips of that aircraft are made. And that material can make it possible to create acoustic weapons that break the core of the microchips. 

The speed of those GPS systems or their carrier platforms tells if that system is installed in the jet fighter. Russians can use some kind of plasma systems like low-yield nuclear warheads for covering the entire operational areas. But the problem is that plasma jams also Russian own Glonass system. If there is some kind of jamming system that makes this jamming operation the jammer is a good target for the anti-radiation missiles. 

Image 2:) J-20 Stealth fighter

Image 3:) KF-21 Stealth fighter

Those missiles can aim at the jammer systems as well they are homing to other radio transmitters. The use of jammers requires that the system knows the frequencies, that should be jammed. If those frequencies are not known the jammer is useless. The data security of the GPS is important for keeping those systems safe. And there is a possibility that the civilian GPS and GPS that are delivered to Ukraine use different frequencies than some civilian systems that are free to buy. 

Images 4 A and B. 

Up: J-31

Below:  F-35 

The race between the interceptors and counter interceptors is always going on. And things like stealth fighters and multi-role stealth systems are making that race more intensive than ever before. The fact is that stealth interceptors are the most powerful and at the same time more vulnerable than any aircraft before. If the material or stealth capacity is broken. That means a stealth fighter is a good target for missiles. 

There is the possibility that the enemy hides its ability to shoot down stealth fighters. And there is also the possibility that some stealth solutions are ineffective against other stealth systems. The Chinese analysts are trashing the new KF-21 fighter. That KF-21 has no match for the Chinese new J-20 stealth fighter. 

So how much real and confirmed data did those Chinese military analysts get from the South-Korean KF-21 stealth aircraft? The Chinese own next-generation stealth fighter J-31 seems very much F-35. There is claiming that there are lots of problems with that new stealth fighter. But there are problems to find neutral sources for that thing. That information is taken from U.S homepages. And they would not want to advise China more with this technology. 

And the fact is that many nations are developing anti-stealth technology that is basing the areal denied ability. Those systems are the high-power microwave transmitters that are planned to destroy the incoming fighter jets. 

https://eurasiantimes.com/uk-firm-unveils-laser-taser-to-puncture-russias-electronic-warfare/

https://eurasiantimes.com/british-us-scientist-decoding-su-35-jet-shot-down-by-ukraine/

https://eurasiantimes.com/chinese-military-analyst-trashes-new-kf-21-fighters/

https://eurasiantimes.com/f-35-vs-j-31-can-chinas-stealth-j-31-aircraft-match-us-f-35-fighter-jet-blow-for-a-blow/

https://eurasiantimes.com/russias-best-fighters-wipe-out-ukraines-best-missiles-systems/

https://eurasiantimes.com/us-air-forces-best-fighter-get-their-radars-jammed-missiles-blocked/

https://www.19fortyfive.com/2021/09/chinas-new-stealth-fighter-built-from-stolen-f-22-and-f-35-technology/

Image 1:) https://eurasiantimes.com/british-us-scientist-decoding-su-35-jet-shot-down-by-ukraine/

Image 2:) https://eurasiantimes.com/chinese-military-analyst-trashes-new-kf-21-fighters/

Image  3:) https://eurasiantimes.com/chinese-military-analyst-trashes-new-kf-21-fighters/

Images 4 A and B:) https://eurasiantimes.com/f-35-vs-j-31-can-chinas-stealth-j-31-aircraft-match-us-f-35-fighter-jet-blow-for-a-blow/

Inflation is not the only thing that affects prices.

Customers are wondering why prices in the EUR area are so high. One of the reasons is inflation. But that thing is not the only thing that causes rises in the prices. Another thing that affects the prices of products is the price of the cargo. And of course, how much product is offered for markets is affecting the prices. 

Things like wars in the production areas are causing the rise in the prices. Things like uncertainty are also giving negative signals and that causes the loss of money. If investors are not sure about the future they can take their investments off. And start to sell certain economical area's currency. And that thing increases inflation. 

Also if a certain economic area has a negative reputation because of corruption, bad human rights, or some other reasons. That thing causes inflation. The reason for that is the companies have a hard to market the products. That produced in that area. The thing is that when companies left Russia they left their merchandise behind them. And that decreases the profits. 

But otherwise making business in Russia can cause boycotts for the products. So it's wise to get out of that area. Governments ordered those sanctions. That means the profit that those companies took from Russia can cause problems. And authorities can even confiscate that money. And those people who continue that business can even be prosecuted for insubordination and actions against national interest. 

The thing that causes uncertainty is the Russian counter-reaction. Russia is not happy with the weapon supply to its enemy. And maybe it waits for winter. Maybe Putin thinks that closing the gas supply to Europe forces the west to its knees. The difference between Europe and Russia is that the Russian government must not care where people are living. 

And do they even have warm houses? That's why the Russian government can resist sanctions longer than western governments. But the thing is that closing borders and denying money transportation are the things that are making FSB operations in Western Europe more difficult. 

Things like the Ukrainian war cause there to be fewer grains for markets than usual. There is a possibility that Russians will disturb grain transportation. And that thing has already happened. That thing will increase the prices of the grain products. 

Things like the price of energy, and especially the prices of fuels like gas and oil are the things. That is causing the rises in the prices of the merchandise. When electric cars are turning more common that decreases the sale of fossil fuels. And this increases the prices of the things like diesel oil. 

Most oil tankers and cargo ships are using petroleum like diesel and other oil products. Also, heavy cargo vehicles are using diesel, and because sell of diesel decreases the oil company must fix their losses by increasing the price of oil products. 

Because the use oil products for traffic is decreasing. That raises the price of those products also in ships and aircraft. The negative attitudes to the fossil fuels like petroleum products are decreasing the use of those products. And that thing increases the price of the cargo. Also, expensive energy causes the storage prices will increase especially if the product requires cold storage. 

The new technological infrastructure requires investments in the electric network. Also finding replacing energy sources that can replace Russian gas and oil are the things that are causing the rise of the prices. Making new power sources like wind and wave energy plants. Geothermal energy plants require also investments. 

Uncertainty of the continuum of the electric and fuel supply from Russia are also things. That are increasing prices. There is the possibility that Russia cuts those supplies of energy and fuel. The fact is that the rise of the temperature on Earth is alarming. And melting of the ice of the mountains is increasing the rise of the temperature. So Earth needs fast action or we are in even deeper trouble than we are today. 

One thing about pressuring researchers.

 

Researchers are facing things like unsatisfying at least once in their life. There are always people who say that some research is not necessary, or there is a better place to put their money. Everything that does not support some people's way to see things. Is wasting of taxpayers' money.

When some researchers are making their research for the institutions like parliaments, there is sometimes a misunderstanding that those researchers should support the political atmosphere in that country.  So that thing means that research should support the politics and political line of the members of the parliament. These kinds of things are against the purpose of research. 

The research's purpose is to bring neutral and confirmed information for supporting decision-making. The purpose of research is not to support the political attitudes of people. So this is why people should understand that science and research are not democratic things. Even if we want to believe something, the evidence might be something else. And that evidence might be against the attitudes of most people. 

So the results of the research might be against the things that even researchers self wants to believe. And the results of the research might be against the national interest and even against the will of the big majority. When we are talking about things like national interest and especially national security we must understand a couple of things. 

There are no perfect solutions for those things. And the short-period benefit can also turn against the nation in the long period. When people are making decisions. They should realize that the political atmosphere can change very fast. Nobody can predict what is the great majority's opinion tomorrow. 

Another thing is that we should learn to see things that are happening the day after tomorrow. Some decisions might seem perfect. But they are always causing the counter-reactions. And that means we cannot please everybody in the world. So we should select the allies that are closest to our values. And the same way we should select do we want to make short-period decisions that kick back in the distant future. And believe me, many solutions might be easy to make. But they can turn very complicated and pressuring. 

One of them is to buy energy from a nation that doesn't care about international agreements. There is the possibility that this nation uses energy to pressure its neighbors. When neighbors are not pleased leaders of that country, its energy delivery ends immediately. 

When we think about Putin's way to make international agreements. Those agreements were meant to give Russians time to develop new nuclear weapons. Things like the Novichok strikes showed, that Russia still has a stockpile of chemical weapons. 

We must understand that energy dependence is the thing that attracts the use of that thing as a blackmailing tool. When some nations can use things like energy as a weapon or pressure tools we should understand that state uses energy as that tool 

Jamming the GPS is not as easy as people think.

Russians are told that they can jam the GPS. The war in Ukraine has shown that jamming the GPS is not as easy as people think. The communication between GPS and satellite happens with multi-channel radios. So the system uses multiple frequencies at the same time. 

That's why jamming the GPS is more difficult than people expect. The data security of those systems is very important. And maybe NATO uses different GPS in exercise than in real situations. That makes jamming of those systems extremely difficult. 

When people are looking at the Russian sea-launch missiles they are not very accurate. There is the possibility that small drones or special warfare teams are taking the radar transponders to targets. That thing makes targets seem brighter on the radar of the missile. And people expected Russians have those transponders. That thing can give the radar-homing missile higher accuracy. But Russians seem to have not those transponders. 

The problem with HiMARS and other precision-guided weapons is that if Russians get one of them. They can find out those frequencies. Another thing is that Ukraine will not maybe need anything more than 20-50 HiMARS launchers. People always asked, why Ukraine would not get let's say about 300 HiMARS? Have you ever known about the apportioning of firepower? 

That means the firepower would be limited to the necessary level. The GPS tells the precise point of the HiMARS to the deliverer of the system. But there is always the possibility that some Ukrainian criminals try to sell those weapons to Russians. Those weapons cannot use against Ukrainians or NATO. But they can give information about what the Russians need to break the GPS. 

The answer is there is always the possibility. Those Russians capture those systems. Another fact about the HiMARS is that weapon manufacturers are making more of them if there is a need for those systems. When we are talking about the HiMARS and other types of weapons we must realize that the U.S stockpile of those systems is not public information. 

And there is always the possibility that some Wikipedia data about those systems is wrong. Another thing is that the only allowed sources for comments on the war are public data. Uncovering classified information can cause big problems for national security. So Wikipedia and some FAS.Org type pages are allowed sources. The classified and top secret files are not public sources. They are not also allowed to use in commentations. The links below this text are going to news that is in Finnish. 

https://www.msn.com/fi-fi/uutiset/other/himars-iskee-kuin-kirurgi-skalpellilla-miksi-ihmeess%C3%A4-usa-on-antanut-raketinheittimi%C3%A4-ukrainalle-niin-v%C3%A4h%C3%A4n/ar-AA101Hz9?ocid=msedgdhp&pc=U531&cvid=71f4ac856913452195d799604307c6c0

https://www.mtvuutiset.fi/artikkeli/venaja-julisti-ennen-sotaa-pystyvansa-sokeuttamaan-lansimaiden-gps-kaluston-vaisu-lopputulos-kiteytyy-tahan-kuvaan/8476944

Image: https://spaceflightnow.com/2014/12/18/newest-gps-satellite-goes-active/

The good news; video games are improving brain activity and decision-making skills.

Video games are not a bad thing at all. They are improving their skills to make fast decisions. And they are also improving brain activity. Another positive thing with computer games is that they improve the language skills of the gamer. Those games are also improving the ability to follow rules. And those skills are needed in working life. 

There is a vision that video games can also benefit the teaching and education process. There is the possibility to send the lectures to gamers by using subliminal messages. That thing means that those systems can also drive information to the head of the gamer. Computer games are one of the most complicated things on the Internet. Those things are modifying our brains and making them create new connections. 

Those video games require fast decisions and flexible brain activity. But the problem is that there is no time for deep thinking. If we are thinking about the difference between shallowness of thinking and deep thinking we can use the old example of the glass of water. When a regular or fast-thinking person sees a glass of water it's enough that there is a glass of water. But deep thinker asks why there is a glass of water? 

Computer games can use to improve military tactics. And then another thing that video games can use to select persons that have certain skills that are useful for governmental and business life. 

When we are thinking about the problems of the internet and especially the shallowness of the information that people are using we must realize that our world is changing. The problem is that there is a lot of information on the internet. But people must learn to select the right and confirmed information from the net. 

https://scitechdaily.com/research-shows-video-game-players-have-enhanced-brain-activity-and-superior-decision-making-skills/

The reality in economics is that a boom cannot last forever.

 

The reality in economics is that a boom cannot last forever. And after the boom period, the downturn is inevitable. That is the law in economics. Even the largest marketing areas cannot maintain a boom forever. So the economical downturn in the EUR area should not be surprising. What sizes are the damages that the downturn causes? 

That depends on how fast it is. And how long the boom continued before the downturn. If the boom continues for a long time and then the downturn is very fast the results of that thing are devastating. That thing causes lots of bankruptcies and unemployment. The bad economical situation can turn worse if there is some kind of civil disorder or some kind of suspicion of the central government's skills and abilities to keep order and control the value of currencies. 

The case where inflation brings benefit is the case where inflation turns to deflation. Deflation is the anti-inflation where the value of the currency is increasing. If that thing happens soon after inflation and especially inflation adjustments that bring benefits for people. 

The thing that also causes suspicion is the loss of free information. The thing that accelerates inflation and rises in the prices of merchandise is the case that many people and companies are just moving their savings and investments to another country. When people are selling currency. That causes inflation. And inflation is not a good thing. 

When we are thinking about inflation and exporting merchandise. That means foreigners can buy our products at a lower price if they use some other currencies. But the problem is that inflation is seen in supermarkets and the prices of everyday products are increasing. And normal people are seeing that thing when they are going to the supermarket. 

If we want to get benefit from inflation that requires a situation where we can get more money from the products. Then the value of money must rise and the prices must turn low. That means only deflation brings the benefit from inflation. 

See terms: 

Deflation:

https://www.investopedia.com/terms/d/deflation.asp

Devaluation:

https://www.investopedia.com/terms/c/competitive-devaluation.asp

Inflation:

https://www.investopedia.com/terms/i/inflation.asp

Revaluation:

https://www.investopedia.com/terms/r/revaluation.asp

Good and bad inflation.

Inflation is decreasing the value of the currency. Sometimes some people say that inflation makes the interest of loans negative. That means the value of the currency drops so fast that the interest of loans cannot cover the loss of the currency's value. Maybe that thing is good for somebody, but that is a bad thing for banks. The interests of loans are meant to cover the expenses of the bank. 

So when the bank would not get what it calculated, that thing means that those negative interests are left as bad debt. The thing that if the private person gets to benefit from the loans of the inflation person requires the inflation adjustments for the incoming. 

The problem with inflation is that it affects the prices of every product. Inflation is increasing prices. And another term for that thing is that costs of living increasing. There is the tale that little inflation is tolerated and helps economics. Of course, that thing can be true. But that requires that people have currency loans. Or they can change their currency whenever the value of a currency is changing. 

When we are talking about the loss of the value of the currency, we can talk about two types of inflation. Normally inflation means the loss of the buying force of money. So the value of the currency is lost internally. But the value of the currency is stable to other currencies. 

In another version of inflation, the value of currency turns weak. In comparison to other currencies. The phenomenon is similar to devaluation, but that thing happens spontaneously. Term devaluation means that the outer value of currency turns weak in purpose. But the spontaneous devaluation where the currency loses its value spontaneously can describe as "outer side inflation". 

Controlling the changes in the value of the currency is the key element in economics. The inflation adjustments are the interesting thing. But they can accelerate inflation. The major reason for inflation is that. There is too much cash or free money in markets. 

So inflation adjustments can mean that the central bank just makes more money for the markets. And because there is less other property the value of money will decrease because there is more money for the property. 

Russia denies its dependence on western nations.

"The High Mobility Artillery Rocket System fires the Army's new guided Multiple Launch Rocket System during testing at White Sands Missile Range" (Wikipedia/M142 HiMARS).

Russian propaganda claims that Russia doesn't need anybody in the world. And another thing that Russian propaganda highlights are that the Russian government can maintain a mercantilistic economy forever. In that case, the money will surround Russia, and there is no importing trade at all. When only international trade is exporting gas and oil. That thing means that the government has just income. 

The fact is that. Authoritarian governments can continue force and violent policy against other countries longer than republics and democratic countries. But the fact is that sooner or later even the most authoritarian governments lose their ability to go to war. If the war machine loses lots of men and equipment. That means there is always an end. No army has an endless store of equipment and men. If there are lots of losses that make need to recruit people from the reserve. 

And the question is are those people even in the physical condition that they can go to war and fight there? Or are the skills of those men so good that they would not die immediately? 

The captured Russian drone and other captured vehicles are telling that Russia uses lots of Western technology in their military equipment. The Russians are invested a lot of resources in their missile technology. Things like S-300 and S-500 air defense missiles can use against ground targets. But the problem is that the warheads of those missiles cannot penetrate the hardened targets. So there is a possibility. That the modified S-300 and S-500 missiles are used as anti-personnel ammunition. The satellite-guidance system will drive the missile to a certain trajectory. 

And then the radar will detonate those fragmentation warheads at a certain altitude. The large-size S-300 and S-500 systems are made to use even against incoming ballistic missiles. But there are counter-weapons against those missiles. And one of them is HiMARS. The salvo of GPS-guided rockets can destroy the large-size missile or its transporter-launch system if that weapon is too close to the front. 

The U.S HiMARS rocket launchers are shown their capacity in Ukraine. Fast-moving multipurpose, long-range rocket launchers are created for one of the counter-weapons against tactical missiles and heavy artillery. The thing is that those weapons are effective at least elder "OTR21 Tochka" (Nato reporting name: SS-21 "Scarab") and probably also against newer SS-25 "Stone" or "Iskander" missiles. 

There is the possibility that the large number of missiles that are used in Ukraine are the elder SS-21 "Scarab" series and the effective range of those missiles is 150 kilometers. The range of the newer "Iskander" is 400-500 kilometers. The effective range of HiMARS is 2-190 km and with MGM-140 ATACMS missiles the range of HiMARS is 300 kilometers. Those highly mobile systems can drive fast to the firing range and make their mission. 

Can systems like "Iskander" respond to HiMARS depending on the thing that can they attack accurately enough against those highly mobile systems? When the enemy site is located the HiMARS can drive fast to the shooting range and makes its duty. There is the possibility. In the future, HiMARS can equip with GPS-guided ammunition, which gives it pinpoint accuracy. Or maybe those GPS-guided rockets are already in use. 

Sources: 

https://gagadget.com/en/148769-the-ukrainian-armed-forces-captured-the-rare-strike-drone-swallow-m-for-the-first-time-the-drone-was-introduced-in-2021-a/

Different news media including. MSN.com and YLE.fi news

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/9K720_Iskander

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/M142_HIMARS

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/MGM-140_ATACMS

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/S-300_missile_system

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/S-500_missile_system

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/OTR-21_Tochka

Image: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/M142_HIMARS

https://webelieveinabrightfuture.blogspot.com/

Somebody claims that even Putin himself doesn't trust his generals.

Image: Reddit

There is claiming that there are no intelligent generals in Putin's military. Intelligent people are always threat, and Putin doesn't want threats around him. He wants people who are doing what he says when he says. And that denies the use of own brains. There is a tale in Novaya Gazeta that even Russian leaders don't trust their military. Putin's leadership style follows faithfully the same style. That was in use in the tsar and Soviet armies. The top thing in the Russian command system is political trustworthiness. That means the commanders have no right to say anything against their leaders. 

That kind of attitude doesn't favor initiative people. It favors people who are not willing to take responsibility for their actions. And that is the problem with the Russian military. 

And that lack of initiative actions and thinking gives a great opportunity to "yes men" whoever think themselves. The key element to earning political trustworthiness is just to make everything and only things that superiority officers or higher ranking officers are saying. And another thing is that the officers must not update their education. 

That thing caused a terrible loss to the tsars navy in the Tsushima naval battle in 1905, where Russian officers were not prepared for the Japanese torpedo boats. And that caused the entire fleet sank by Japanese torpedoes. If things like initiative education are forbidden. That causes problems. 

Another remarkable thing in the Russian-style command is that information goes only one way. The higher-ranking officers are giving orders, and they might not even want to hear reports that something goes wrong. That means the troops might try the same thing again and again causing terrible losses. The major problem in the Russian command culture is that commanders don't want to grant their mistakes. Granting the mistake is a weakness. And that's why the Russian military can make big losses on battlefields. 

This is one of the reasons why Putin started the invasion of Ukraine. The philosophy behind this kind of decision is simple. When a decision is made nothing can change it. If Putin would change or pull that order back that is against his authority. And that cannot be accepted, in that country. 

The role of people like ministers in Russia is just to give pieces of advice to Putin. And decisions are made by Putin himself. If Putin believes his advisors that shows that he cannot do everything. That is like giving the command to that advisor. Putin's philosophy is that the henchmen's role is just to please him. If that is not clear. The henchmen must go. 

So those advisors are told Putin just what he wants to hear. And there is the possibility that some commanders are giving false reports of the attack capacity of their troops. And there is the possibility that some commanders are inflated their success. The fact is that Putin is dependent on the reports that his henchmen are giving him. 

And that makes him vulnerable. If commanders are telling lies about their success, that causes the wrong estimation of the situation. And the problem is that. The commanders would not want to lose their jobs or die because they are making mistakes. So they are giving false information to their superior officers and Putin himself. 

 And this is one of the reasons why he continues his offensive without caring about losses. Accepting the reality that the mission failed is a weakness. And the Russian masculine military cannot accept weakness. So that's why the Russian military sends more and more men to war which is one of the saddest in history. 

https://gamesandtehories.blogspot.com/

Why Russian invasion of Ukraine was something else than it should?

Above: Antonov An-22 heavy transport aircraft plays a vital role in the Russian military. Heavy transporters' primary role is that they can carry paratroopers to capture some airfields. Then the same planes can bring tanks, artillery, and men for creating another front behind the enemy back. 

The idea of this tactic is this: Russian forces are taking enemy troops between two main groups.  Then Russians would destroy their enemy by using mortars, tanks, and artillery. 

Putin planned that the Russian invasion and Ukraine occupation would be a good demonstration of the skills of the modern Russian military. The invasion was planned as a short-term military action against Ukraine. And then something went wrong. 

The key element in the Russian military tactics is the cooperation between tank corpses and VDV (Airborne Assault troops). The idea is that when the Russian main force attacks from the front the paratroopers attack to back of the troops and conquer some airfields. Then cargo planes bring tanks and other equipment to the back of the enemy troops. So the idea of this tactic is that the enemies of the Russian army are on two fronts. And Russian military can attack from two sides. 

The Russian plan was probably to destroy the Ukrainian main force. That would defend the area between the Russian border and Kyiv. The idea was that the Kyiv airport captured by VDV and the heavy artillery along with tank corpses and motorized infantry would crush the Ukrainian troops that location is between those groups. 

The airport would be the base, where the Russian military brings tanks and other equipment. If that plan was successful the Russian military would crush the Ukrainian army in one single battle. But then something happened. VDV fail in its mission. And the Ukrainian back was secured. 

Then the Ukrainians got some impressive victories. Because Ukraine didn't fall in 36 hours the Russian plans were ineffective. The idea of the service of this operation was that Russian troops would get their food from supermarkets.  Only ammunition and fuel were in the convoys that followed the main battle units. 

Those mainly unprotected vehicles are good targets for Bayraktar-drones. And Ukrainian helicopters and aircraft. Russians didn't expect that the Ukrainian air force can operate against them. They expected that the captured airfields eliminates the threat of the Ukrainian air force. So those troops didn't have anti-aircraft equipment.

And also, the Western military aid to Ukraine was a surprise. Russian leaders believed that their nuclear arsenal makes Western nations afraid. And Russian gas would be a good tool for buying sympathy from the Western nations. So stick and carrot was the method that Russians planned to use on Western nations. The carrot was cheap energy. And the stick was the threat of military actions. 

The thing that caused more casualties is probably that the Russian headquarters didn't know that the prime element of this kind of military operation fail. Without the success of the VDV, the Russians couldn't build another front behind Ukrainian lines. When the war is prolonged the nations must say something. 

The leaders of the Western nations couldn't just stand. Because the resistance continues that thing will encourage Western nations to give more and more military aid to Ukraine. The Russian invasion of Ukraine caused fear that similar action can happen to anybody. 

Image: https://aircraft.fandom.com/wiki/Antonov_An-22

https://gamesandtehories.blogspot.com/

The Institute of Study of War (ISW) tells that Russia wastes its power in meaningless battles.

Su-25 "Frogfoot"

Why Russians are wasting their power? The fact is that two things can explain why Russians are fighting in meaningless areas, wasting their power and causing casualties. The first thing is that the Russian military is following the original battle plan without caring about casualties. And Russians might think that some area is important to them. But Ukrainians or Western observers think that the areas have no meaning in the war. 

There is the possibility that the Russian military makes its casualties on purpose. The Russian government promised over 8000 euros price for recruiting to the war. And if those soldiers die, they must not pay that money. But another reason why Russian waste its power in meaningless areas like small towns can be in defense tactics of the Ukrainian army. There is a possibility that the Ukrainian army makes "unnecessary-looking" hard resistance in the small towns and countryside.

That kind of tactic when the defender wants to make a series of resistance battles is effective against an army that uses massive firepower. If the Ukrainian military will try to hit Russian troops in one battle by using the tactics where a large group of troops faces the Russians in one solution battle. That causes the ultimate loss for Ukrainians. 

The major part of the Russian tactics is maybe that the Russian main force faces the Ukrainian main forces in an open field battle. In that battle, Russians would use the TOS- mortars, thermobaric explosives, and other kinds of stuff. The idea is that if the Ukrainians are using the fixed combat positions the Russian recon planes will locate those positions. And then the defender will be bombed away by using air force and heavy artillery. 

Attacks before a big solution battle are meant to cause casualties for the attacker and leave it without ammunition or some systems. The loss of tanks, heavy artillery, and mortars force Russians to order those systems from Russia. 

And spend its force. In this kind of tactic, the idea is that the defender will destroy some vehicles and other units. And then step backward. If the defender can destroy the force of the attacker before the main battle, it cannot use all its weapons that are meant for that battle. The Russian tactics like massive, but non-accurate firepower favors the single battle tactics. 

The idea is that the Russian military will crush the enemy in one single battle where it can use its mortars and all its firepower. So one of the best counter-tactic is to try to force the enemy into warfare where the attacker must use unduly firepower. So this is one variation of the "Hit and run" tactics. 

When Russian TOS rocket launchers and heavy artillery comes into place those systems will target HiMARS or Ukrainian Howitzers. And then those systems are destroyed. Also, combat helicopters and attack aircraft can destroy convoys, especially at night time. And those attacks destroy the combat vehicles or support. And if the fuel trucks or ammunition carriers are destroyed the troops are left without equipment. And that thing slows the advancing. 

Image: https://worldinconflict.fandom.com/wiki/Su-25_Frogfoot

Hypersonic Air-Breathing Weapon Concept (HAWC) made its second successful test flight.

Image 1) "An artist's depiction of Raytheon and Northrop Grumman's Hypersonic Air-breathing Weapon Concept. (Image credit: Northrop Grumman)" (Space.com/Hypersonic air-breathing weapon concept passes 2nd flight test)

The Hypersonic Air-Breathing Weapon Concept (HAWC) is the scramjet-driven missile concept. The idea of that system is to develop a full-scale hypersonic cruise missile that uses a scramjet engine. The secondary objective of this project is to collect information about hypersonic aircraft that will revolutionize aviation in all sectors. The HAWC system is based on the X-51 "WaveRider" concept. 

And it's more advanced and capable than AGM-183 ARRW (Air-Launched Rapid Response Weapon) could be. Those futuristic Scramjet-driven drones can be the next-generation tools for sending miniature satellites to space. They can rise a "Pegasus" rocket or miniature shuttle to a ballistic jump before the orbital vehicle will start its engines. 

The scramjet-driven cruise missile can also install on the nose of the ballistic missile. At the first, the missile rises to the ballistic trajectory out of the atmosphere. Then that cruise missile dives back into the atmosphere. And scramjet engines start. The cruise system can travel to a target at a lower altitude than a regular ballistic missile. That makes defense against those missiles more difficult. 

Image 2) X-51 WaveRider under the B-52 

The defense against hypersonic weapons is theoretically very easy. There is introduced the model. Where a drone swarm can rise to the route of the hypersonic missile. When that missile hits to drone swarm speed that is higher than Mach 5+. That causes at least damage to the hypersonic system. 

And that impact can destroy incoming hypersonic weapons. The kinetic-energy THAAD missiles are also effective if they just impact with a hypersonic missile. 

The THAAD missile must hit precisely the incoming hypersonic missile. And that means the guidance of the surface-to-air missile must be very accurate. There is a possibility that hypersonic missiles are equipped with counter-missile systems like microwave generators that destroy the electronics of the incoming missile. 

There is of course need for the counter-systems against the hypersonic cruise missiles that travel lower than satellites. The hypersonic weapon is "quite easy to destroy" by using surface-to-air missiles. But the counter missile must find the trajectory of the incoming hypersonic weapon.  Then that missile can impact with a hypersonic cruise missile. The problem is how to get information on the trajectory of the incoming hypersonic missiles? 

The answer could be the satellite network of high-orbiting satellites. Those satellites can use radar, infrared, visible light, and laser scanners to detect objects that are traveling in the atmosphere and which behavior causes suspicion of the attacker.  

The network of those satellites can also collect all kinds of tactical and strategic information. The thing is that the HAWC concept would be the biggest advance in aviation. The data that is collected from that program can use to develop new reusable systems. 

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/AGM-183_ARRW

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hypersonic_Air-breathing_Weapon_Concept

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Boeing_X-51_Waverider

1) https://www.space.com/hypersonic-air-breathing-weapon-second-flight-test

 

Ukraine is the graveyard of tanks, so are tanks gone forever?

The image above: German Leopard II tank (Pinterest)

What is the problem with Russian tanks in Ukraine? 

The main problem with Russian tanks is that they are not what they should be. Somebody might steal those tanks' electronic components because of corruption. That means the screens are carried to officers' personal computers. 

There are tales that the tracks of the tanks changed to tracks, meant for civilian vehicles. Or the assemblers are not made proper work. And there is some kind of leaks in the amphibious vehicles. The problem with reactive armor is that the explosive must be changed after each hit. And if those explosive bricks are not replaced with new ones. That thing causes the hole in reactive armor. 

But if we are thinking about the role of the tanks in modern warfare we must realize one thing. If the tank is not modern, equipped with modern weapons and without modern armor that thing makes it a death trap. Also if the crew doesn't handle those systems even the best tank is useless. 

Things like killer drones are causing the use of tanks must reappraied. That means the tanks must operate more firmly with the other units. And the tanks must have the ability to shoot down the killer drones. The killer drone should be an easy target and their radio communication should be easy to jam. 

But the communication between the ground station and drone will happen by using multiple frequencies at the same time. Another thing is that the armored personnel carrier (APC) is not the same thing as the main battle tank (MBT)  with 120-150mm. cannon. So most of the destroyed units in Ukraine are APCs. But the fact is that the old-fashion armored vehicle is a death trap. There is the possibility that some Russian tanks are made of regular steel like cars. And that means those tanks are old-fashion. 

The difference between the Russian and Western ways to think and make devices is that Russians believe that a great number of units are enough. The Western way to think is that the quality replaces the number. There are not so many electronics like computers and AI in Russian tanks as in Western tanks. So the Russian tanks are not so highly automatized as Western tanks. But Russians can make more tanks at the same time. 

What is the future of the tanks? 

So what is the future of tanks? Maybe we are going two different ways. Wery heavy command units that have multi-use weapon and intelligence systems. Those systems are equipped, with the AI that supports the crew.  In the future, the tank unit can operate with manned, and unmanned tanks. The unmanned tank can be the regular unit where the man-shaped robots are operating the systems. 

Those systems allow the tank to detect and destroy other tanks and flying drones. Also, the tank of the future can use quadcopters for detecting targets. And then the command units are surrounded by smaller and cheaper units that are going to battle. Those systems can be full- or semiautomatic. 

One man can operate a robotic tank with an automated gun loading system. But those tanks can also be remote-operating. So the advancing of the tanks goes otherwise to super heavy and otherwise lightweight. But the fact is this: The weights of the tanks are increasing all the time. And there is some limit to that advancing. The weight of the tank cannot increase forever. 

Tanks are rulers of the battlefield. They are also rulers of the future's battlefield. But the form of the tank can turn different than it's now. The tank formation can consist of two kinds of units. The lightweight attack systems can be manned or operated by the AI. 

The command units can be very heavy and equipped with computers and command links that are making it easier to deliver commands to other units. The idea of that kind of system is that the division acts as the entirety. The tank would be a powerful unit but integrated with other units that can assist it. 

Those tanks can have quadcopters for locating the enemy. And things like GPS-guided grenades can make the new tanks more deadly than ever before. The Leopard tank above this text is one of the most modern western tank types. 

That tank can equip with screens where the image comes from another side. That kind of active stealth system makes the tank will blend in with the background like chameleons. So stealth technology is one of the things with modern tanks. The system must isolate against the infrared, visual, and radar signatures. And maybe in the tanks of the future uses laser and microwave cannons. The microwave fields around the tank make a new improvement for the reactive or active armor. 

Vastaamo's hacking incident is still under investigation.

The Vastaamo's hacking incident is still under investigation. That case where hackers attacked a psychotherapy company and stole a client's information remains dark. The sources are outside Europe. But the person or persons who made that attack can be Finnish. Those persons can travel to another country. Or they can have cooperatives that opened remote access to computers. 

And that means those people can sit in the living room somewhere in Finland. officially, the purpose of that hacking incident was simply to blackmail money. But there is the possibility. That some "hostile actors" might want to search the names of the members of the Parliament. The fact is that also regular criminals can be interesting in powerful people's psychotherapy. 

Or they can try to sell that information to the FSB or Mafia. The fact is that. Also, regular criminals can operate under the control of the FSB. And that kind of security service can blackmail people to cooperate with them. If the person refuses to cooperate that causes trouble.  But the fact is that psychotherapy information is always confidential. And there are a lot of people who want that kind of information for blackmailing purposes. 

The next part is pure speculation. 

Sometimes I have thought could that stolen information was meant for targeting people in the dirty games of politics. Or was that data crime meant to make people keep their mouths shut about things, that somebody wants to hide, like selling depression medicals for narcotics addicts? Only people who are behind that case knows the answer. 

Sometimes this kind of hacker attack is made by covering the cooperative who is working with this kind of information. If some people the psychiatric institutes are selling patients' information. 

In that case, there is enough that one person makes this kind of thing. That person can be some drug addict who sits in the groups. But it can be somebody in the nursery staff or micro support. Who knows the truth? 

There is enough that the person who makes the data break has access to usernames and passwords. Maybe, somebody wrote that passphrase that gave access to the server on the paper. And then that person forgot that paper in some bar. That kind of hacker action can cover the action where some worker or patient steals things like medicine packages where is the patient's name. 

The fact is that narcotics users are sometimes selling some psychiatric data for their mates. They can also try to steal medicines where is the patient's information. Those medicines are very sensitive things. And some people would want to use that kind of information as a blackmailing tool. 

https://valtioneuvosto.fi/en/-/25235045/progress-made-in-investigation-of-vastaamo-hacking-incident-police-to-start-to-interview-victims-online

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Vastaamo_data_breach

Hypersonic technology is the next thing in the military systems.

Image 1) The image above portrays the British reusable hypersonic system concept.  "The single-engine vehicles would be reusable. They would return after a mission"(BBC/UK studies reusable hypersonic military jet technology)

The new hypersonic missiles like USAF AGM-183 and Chinese DF-21D and DF-26 ballistic anti-ship missiles are brand new technology. Today, many countries are developing this kind of weapon. The Russian Kinzhal missile is one of the first hypersonic missiles, that entered service. That rocket-engined missile must launch from a MiG-31 interceptor so that it can reach hypersonic speed. 

Those missiles are made to attack their targets by using a low trajectory, which makes them more difficult to destroy than ever before. Hypersonic cruise missiles can launch from ships and aircraft. 

The Chinese systems use ballistic missiles as their carriers. Those missiles shoot the hypersonic glider to ballistic trajectory. And then that glider hits to target. Most of those systems are meant to use against fixed targets like factories and bunkers.  The advancing technology makes it possible that the next-generation hypersonic missiles can attack aircraft carriers. And probably even more advanced systems give those weapons so good accuracy that they can shoot things like mobile missile systems and even single tanks. 

That kind of system can involve multiple small-size glider systems that are shot into the air by using a ballistic missile. Then those systems will target tanks or troops on the battlefield. So they can be the next-generation versions of the guided cluster bombs. Also, hypersonic attack aircraft can be very destructive if it flies at a very low altitude with the speed of Mach 3+. 

Today most of those hypersonic missiles are using rocket engines. But the scramjet-driven versions are coming to the service. 

There is news at C4isrnet.com and defensenews.com with the date 19th July 2022 the Raytheon system made successful tests with a hypersonic scramjet-driven missile. Also, the U.S military tested another- ballistic missile-driven hypersonic system launched from the Marines' truck. 

Image 2) "DARPA conducted a test of Raytheon's Hypersonic Air-breathing Weapon Concept, or HAWC, earlier this month. (DARPA)"(C4isrnet.com/ Raytheon hypersonic scramjet missile has another successful flight test) 

British are studying reusable hypersonic technology. 

Reusable hypersonic flight technology can make a revolution in military and civil aviation. This technology makes it possible to create hypersonic bombers, cargo planes, and passenger transporters. The thing that gets the most benefit from hypersonic systems is long-range attack planes. Those planes can attack any fixed target in less than two hours. And also hypersonic cargo planes can transport equipment and men to the operational area very fast. There are three ways to use hypersonic systems in military use. The first version is the recon and intelligence platforms. 

There are rumors that USAF and some other airforces have recon planes that can fly over Mach 5+. But the question is can those recon planes carry weapons? The fact is that. The SR-72 concept can reach Mach 6+. And it is planned to equip with an attack kit. The fact is also that the USAF is not the only air force that develops hypersonic missiles. 

But we know that test plane X-43 reached the speed of Mach 9,6. And of course, those things cause discussions about what is kept secret in those projects? The X-51 WaveRider project along with DARPA "Project Falcon" or HTV (Hypersonic Technology Vehicle) tells, that there is made a lot of work with hypersonic cruise missiles and other hypersonic systems. The reusable hypersonic systems are more ambitious projects than some hypersonic missiles. 

The second version uses hypersonic flight just to transport the system to the operational area. And the third way to use hypersonic systems is to make attacks by using hypersonic systems. The hypersonic aircraft can fly to the upper atmosphere and then launch a missile salvo against other aircraft. Or launch smart weapons against ground targets. 

The hypersonic cargo systems can also jump out from the atmosphere and release satellites to the low orbiter. The same systems can also use to carry anti-satellite systems. And they can shoot Pegasus-type rockets from the upper atmosphere. 

Those new hypersonic systems can be manned. Or they can be autonomous robots. Things like satellite carry missions don't require complicated artificial intelligence. The aircraft must just carry an air-launched rocket to the ballistic trajectory, where it can be launched. Even small-size systems can make those kinds of things. There is the possibility that multiple hypersonic accelerating units are connected to one bigger rocket. 

The reusable hypersonic technology makes it possible to create a new type of extremely powerful kamikaze drone. Those next-generation cruise missiles can patrol autonomously. If they are not needed those systems can return to base. But when they get orders they will just attack any target in the world. 

https://www.bbc.com/news/science-environment-62218968

https://www.c4isrnet.com/battlefield-tech/2022/07/19/darpas-hypersonic-scramjet-missile-logs-another-flight-test-success/

https://www.c4isrnet.com/battlefield-tech/2022/07/19/hypersonic-missile-launches-off-marine-corps-truck-in-darpa-test/

https://www.defensenews.com/battlefield-tech/2022/07/19/darpas-hypersonic-scramjet-missile-logs-another-flight-test-success/

https://eurasiantimes.com/chinas-df-21d-df-26-anti-ship-ballistic-missiles-us-navy/

https://eurasiantimes.com/akin-to-chinas-df-26-russia-is-developing-hypersonic-ballistic-missile-that-can-cripple-us-super-carriers/

https://www.foxnews.com/tech/darpa-loses-hypersonic-vehicle-goes-from-320m-to-zero-in-2700-seconds

https://www.nasa.gov/centers/dryden/history/pastprojects/HyperX/index.html

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/AGM-183_ARRW

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Kh-47M2_Kinzhal

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Boeing_X-51_Waverider

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/DARPA_Falcon_Project

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hypersonic_Technology_Vehicle_2

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Lockheed_Martin_SR-72

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/NASA_X-43

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Northrop_Grumman_Pegasus

Image 1)https://www.bbc.com/news/science-environment-62218968

Image 2:)https://www.c4isrnet.com/battlefield-tech/2022/07/19/darpas-hypersonic-scramjet-missile-logs-another-flight-test-success/

Why does Putin go to war so often?

 

The image above Russian Troops at Chechnya (Pinterest)

There have been many wars during Putin's time during the presidency of Russia. That thing means that there is something in those wars, that bring benefit to Vladimir Putin.  Putin's era remarkable conflicts are Chechnya, Georgia, Syria, and Ukraine. The Wagner group or mercenaries played a big role in those conflicts. And that means the losses are not in the official records of the Russian army. The Wagner group allows Putin can go to war without telling that thing to an official army or even FSB about his plans. 

But there is one aspect that we must realize when we are looking at wars. War is a good place to get rid of nasty people. If Putin wants to eliminate some individual people the war is a good place for that operation. If the eliminated person is a member of the Wagner group. That means nobody asks uncomfortable questions. War is the place where people are dying naturally. And mercenaries always know something that even Putin doesn't want other people to know. 

If we are thinking that Putin orders some opposition members eliminated. That means the best place for that is the war. If that person will send to prison and executed those people can agitate their guards before they die. And always the thing that interests many people is why Putin himself ordered the killing of some precise politicians or activists. 

If somebody is killed, that means the person is something or says something that means or even can harm the leader. There are not many people who can tell something that harms Vladimir Putin. The power in Russia is in the hands of Putin and his cabinet. They must not be afraid of things like investigations and trials as long as Putin remains in power. 

The use of things like Novichoke neural poison means that crimes like murders can connect straight with the members of Putin's cabinet. But those crimes are showing that there is something remarkable in the victims. Nobody kills a person who means nothing. The best way to make people interesting in something is to murder somebody. 

https://artificialintelligenceandindividuals.blogspot.com/

Why do Russian troops make people vanish in Ukraine?

FSB armored vehicle (Redditt)

Vanishing is the thing that causes fear. Fear is the thing that makes people cooperate. And the purpose of fear is to make people remain silent about things that can harm somebody. The political police or secret police use this kind of method where a person just vanishes. There is no trace or evidence of their fate. 

The idea of this kind of action is similar to all other secret police psychological operations. Many political or secret police organizations like Gestapo, NKVD, and DINA (Chilean security police) maximize their fear by taking their victims to arrest facilities at night time. Because those people who are making those arrests are coming at night time. That allows them to hide their identity. Because people cannot see the faces of men of the secret police, that makes those persons even more terrible. 

The purpose of making people vanish is to cause fear and uncertainty. If a person is dead people believe that there is nothing that can hurt those people. That can make those people's friends fight hard and tell something that some people don't want to tell others. 

But if a person has just vanished there is always a small hope. And the purpose of that brutality is to control those people who are left behind. The vanishing causes uncertainty about what is happening. And the fear about fate, what happened in the arresting place is horrible. The thing is that fear is the thing that the secret police normally use for controlling people. 

Those organizations are delivering information that anybody can be their informer. And if somebody talks something against the state. Others must make information to the secret police immediately. Because in the cases that the secret police hear about that agitation from some other source. That thing would cause, that also other people who "hired" that information will send to prison. 

The problem with cheap gas and oil is that they brake the investments in new energy sources.

The main problem with the warming of the atmosphere is the use of fossil fuels. If fossil fuels or fossil energy sources are replaced, using some other energy source like hydrogen that is produced by clean energy will decrease carbon dioxide emission. 

But the problem is that the new energy sources like geothermal energy, wave and tide energy, wind and solar energy require new investments. The thing that gives brakes to those investments is the cheap fossil fuel. The investments that the new energy sources require are causing the rise in the price of energy. 

The Ukrainian crisis is opening the people's eyes that the Russian government can use its energy weapon against the West. That means the cheap oil and natural gas are not enticed to invest in some kind of green energy. That thing is the weapon in the hands of the deliverer of the energy source. When we are looking at history we should remember the oil crisis. 

The Ukrainian situation can cause a new "oil crisis". Gas and oil are effective tools in the hands of the people, who want to use them to drive their political goals. 

The reason for the oil crisis was that in 1973 the OPEC or Arabic nations that were members of OPEC decided to increase the price of oil, and tried to force the USA and its allies to stop the military aid to Israel. The reason why Arabs have so many friends is that they are controlling a very large part of the oil rigs of the world. The Islamic revolution in Iran was the reason for the second oil crisis in 1979. The leaders of the Muslim oil producers wanted to help their "Islamic brothers". 

The 1979 oil crisis caused the situation that outside nations didn't want to intervene in Iran's internal political situation. 

And that raised Khomeini to power. The fear was that OPEC will stop oil delivery to NATO. And that was the reason why Khomeini got power in Iran. Relationships between Iran and other Islamic nations are sometimes very cold. 

The oil crisis should warn the world about the scenario that governments can use their oil and energy weapons against countries. That is determined "hostile". Maybe Putin waits for the next winter when Europe needs the energy to start to use that energy weapon. If we would use green energy we would not face that kind of problem. 

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ruhollah_Khomeini

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/1973_oil_crisis

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/1979_oil_crisis

https://realityisthinking.blogspot.com/

Tony Blair said: the western dominance is over.

 

Tony Blair's opinion is this: The situation in Ukraine shows that western dominance is over. That means the warm discussions between the western world and Russia are over. This is the era of the next cold And we must prepare for the long-period cold era in the relationships between the West and Russia. Some people can never go to Russia in their entire life. The reason for that is that they said something against Putin. 

When we think about the process that caused this situation, we must ask one question, could we stop this thing? Did we have a chance to stop the advance in Russia that caused the war in Ukraine? Or what the Ukrainian war should teach us? Could that thing be "never trust anybody"? Or is the lesson that the Ukrainian conflict should give that the military world is constantly changing. Alliances are forming. And alliances are ending. Enemies turn to friends and friends turn to enemies. 

All weapons are not killing. They are like gas and oil. Those things can use as a trade weapon for breaking the line against Russia. If some country is nice, it will get cheap gas and oil. And those kinds of things are effective tools for breaking the lines and making the sanctions leak. 

The Russian propaganda repeats the mantra, that sanctions do not affect it. But the thing is that many Russian advanced weapons like Ka-52 Helicopters and some jet fighters are using western microchips. And if those microchips are also used in missiles. That means they are hard to replace if those microchips are damaged. 

The re-established red army has shown that the Russian weapons are not as good as the western weapons. But the Russian way to use fire is different. The thing is that western nations must realize that development of the new military systems is necessary. The purpose of military systems is inhumane. They just scare the enemy. 

And that means Russian weapons don't need pinpoint accuracy. The fact is that even if there are lots of losses in the Russian army and that thing seems very "promising" we must remember that human being is fast-learning species. Even if Russia fails in Ukraine, there is the possibility that they will change their tactics sooner than we ever imagine. 

The thing is that the Russian eagerness to introduce their new weapons should be a so-called weak signal that the time when Russia would introduce with Western nations is over. Ukraine should be a demonstration of the capacity of the Russian military. The problem with Russia is its way to think about military operations. Is different from the Western way to think about the military. That means even the big losses would not affect to strategy and tactics of the Russian army. 

The Russian philosophy of the purpose of existence of the individual is that individuals are living for the state. That was the key element in the Communists ideology. This is why a Russian military is so a tough place. The individual must fit the state. Not otherwise. And if the individual would not fit to state the purpose of the system is to put that individual fit to the locker. That is reserved for them. 

That means the Russians would not react similar way as western people react to the losses on the battlefield. The purpose of the life of those people who are in military service is to take orders and follow their leaders without excuses. In Russian falling for the fatherland is an honor. That is the official line. And if somebody excuses the official line, that causes very much trouble. 

If somebody criticizes the Ukrainian war or Russian authorities that causes arrest immediately. Also, things like investigations of the actions of the military men in the fields are a violation of veterans' honor and that thing brings prison penalty to the person who dares to make that kind of thing. 

And the purpose of Russian media is to support the central government in Moscow. There are lots of losses in Ukraine. And those losses are touched especially the Russian professional military men. Training those men is not a very easy and short process. And replacement of the long-served men is not a very easy thing. 

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There are two remarkable things in the Ukrainian war. The war crimes and destructive firepower.

The major question is why Russia doesn't use harder language against the western weapon aid for Ukraine? The fact is that this military aid is not enough for driving Russians away from East Ukraine. But those weapon systems causes losses for Russian troops. Maybe one purpose of that operation is simply to kill some fighters who know something that Putin doesn't want people to know. 

Things like the murders of Anna Politkovskaya and some oligarchs might be made by some people, which fighting in Ukraine today. Maybe those people have some kind of evidence about things that can harm even Putin himself. Or they might know something about Putin's financing systems especially before he became president. 

And the comfortable solution would be for the Ukrainian army kills those people, who made dirty work for Vladimir Putin. Could the man who poisoned Boris Yeltsin be on the blacklist or kill list of Vladimir Putin? 

Things like Wagner Group are meant as a tool in the hands of Putin. That military company makes it possible to order dirty work without telling those things FSB. There is the possibility that the use of massive, nonprecise firepower is meant to hide robberies in that area.

The thing is that the Russian operation in Ukraine has been something else that Putin wanted. The Russian invasion of Ukraine was no surprise if we are looking backward. Kreml has introduced new weapon systems all the time. And then Putin shows that he wants to return to the Soviet Union. 

That could be meant to demonstrate the power of the re-established red army in the attack on Ukraine. And the result is a fiasco. The Russian losses are been quite big and we must remember that at the beginning of this conflict Ukraine had not all the weapon systems that it used to drive Russians out from northern Ukraine. The fact is that Ukraine needs more firepower to kick Russians away from entire Ukraine. But Russians don't have enough force to occupy the entire Ukraine. 

The benefit of this conflict is on the side of the Russian commander, who must not care about losses and civilian casualties. The thing is that the use of massive firepower that is not aimed is the thing that makes the enemy fear Russians. But the war crimes that Russians are made also make people fight harder. If Russians shoot the defenders anyway, they can sell their blood at the highest possible price. 

Could the purpose of those war crimes be that they are meant to make the distance between Russians and Ukrainians? In this hypothesis, the war crimes are authorized by the Russian high command. And another purpose could be to cause shame to those combatants that they will not tell things that they heard to non-authorized persons. 

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What kind of companies gets the benefit of the rise in the price of oil globally?

 

When people are talking about the rise of the price of oil. They are talking about the rise in the price of fuel. That means the rise of the price of oil rises with the price of traveling. The companies that get benefit from that situation are the companies that are selling especially services that can replace physical traveling. 

So things like data security companies might get lots of benefits from the rise of the price of oil which is the primary component in fuel that is used in cars and other vehicles. If people would get orders to use remote meetings as the primary meeting type. 

That means the company must secure its communication. The thing is that the rise of the oil price will make the use of own car expensive if it burns fossil fuel. So electric trains and electric cars are getting benefit from the situation that the price of oil is high. 

The rise of oil's price affects especially the price of the fuel. And if the price of natural gas that is commonly used in power plants remains at the lower level. That benefits also the users of electric cars. So maybe some people would start to use electric cars or public transportation. That thing decreases the carbon emission that comes from combustion engines. 

The next winter will be difficult for economic advances in the entire world. And there would be a recession sooner or later.  

The Ukrainian war will cause the situation that we might have to control energy use the next winter. The Ukrainian war causes a recession. And when we are thinking about sanctions against Russia, we must realize that Russians want that we believe that those sanctions do not affect the Russian military. 

We must realize that sooner or later we must rip ourselves from the addiction to Russian cheap energy. The thing is that sooner or later Putin would go too far. And Russians are using cheap natural gas and oil as the weapon that is used to rip the EU and NATO into pieces. The idea is that the Russians promise cheap natural gas and oil for countries that please their leaders. 

The fact is that whenever the western microchip is used in some missile that is shot in Ukraine Russians must get the new one. Things like gold and western currency play a vital role in the Russian intelligence services, SVR, and GRU operations in western Europe. Without money, the Russian intelligence cannot buy things like western mobile telephones and operational workspaces like flats for their agents. Russia needs western money to finance its intelligence and industrial spying operations. Also, the lack of western currency denies that the Russian agents cannot just buy western mobile technology. 

Image: https://fbe.unimelb.edu.au/economics

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