Why do we believe lies?

People are willing to hear lies if they benefit them. The lies that "might become true" are the things that are making some people jump about excitement. The lies look like this: "In our company, the person not attending school can earn 5000 dollars per day". 

Or "our CEO has ever been in any schools. And he raises to the position of the head of 3000 employees company because of the good scent". And then some person can add that the "you can make similar career". 

So 1/3000 workers can rise to the position of CEO. And the probability seems very good. The thing that makes some people believe those things is, that they are a touch of self-esteem. Those things are told multiplied in a way that those people want to hear.

People who are victims of that kind of lies are probably left their schools without graduating. So they want to hear things that support their choice. How do they confess to people around them that they made the right decision? And then some angel comes and tells that they have the salesman who earns 8000 dollars per week. 

People want to hear those kinds of things especially if they don't like schools. The thing is that there is the possibility that one of 3000 can raise to an important position. That thing doesn't feel lie at all. When people believe that kind of lie they are a little bit overoptimistic. They want to hear those kinds of stories of success. 

Do e believe lies, or are we just acting that we believe them? 

When people are telling things that are not true, they tell lies. But why do we believe lies? Or do we believe lies? The thing is this: there are many times when we are seeing that people are telling about things that are not true. But we are not telling that thing to the storyteller because we want to be polite. 

If some old or sick person tells things that are not the fact at their probably last birthdays we might not tell that those things that the person tells are not true. So we want to be polite, but we should tell our children that the things that they heard were against facts.

In the case of governmental propaganda, the thing that boosts misinformation is that there is only one acceptable truth. If people are criticizing that official truth they will get in trouble. 

So do we believe the lies? One thing is that the person who is our boss is telling lies. Should we tell that our boss tells lies, or keep our mouths shut? In those cases, we don't believe lies, but we are playing that we cannot see that person telling things that are not true.

But then we must realize that people who are telling lies. Are more often believing them than the people who are telling truth. There are two explanations for that interesting thing.  The person who tells lies might believe that nobody noticed that. 

The lies like using the wrong name or hiding some vital-looking information are status. That thing rises the position of the person in the social hierarchy. And that might give a false image about the lying skills of that person. The question is: does the henchman believe lies? Or are they just letting that thing be? If you would in Russia, and see that some FSB agent is telling very poor lies would you tell that person is lying?

In that case, the authority of the liar denies that the people will tell the things that person is lying. In that case, the authority denies that people are not fixing lies, even if they know that person is lying.  In those cases, the afraid of consequences is denying that people tell that person lies to them. 

The social pressure that forces people to act as they might look believe lies is that they have used the same lies themselves. That thing causes the force, that they must make the same things with their victims. The salvation of the cheater is sometimes that they are made the same things as their victims or they believed those things. So the social pressure makes them act against their knowledge. 

Sometimes in those cases, the social pressure is denying to fix the misinformation. When most people who use authority others believe misinformation,  there is needed big courage to fix those lies.  This is the reason why propaganda is targeted at the superiors. The idea is that it denies the criticism because people are afraid to hurt their boss's emotions. 

But the second thing why people who often tell lies also believe lies more often than people who are telling the truth is simple. Liars hear lies more often than people who tell truth. The reason for that is simple. People surround themselves with people similar to themselves. That means liars are surrounding themselves with other liars. And that makes them hear lies more often than people who tell truth. 

Sources:

https://scitechdaily.com/lies-that-might-eventually-come-true-people-willing-to-spread-misinformation-if-they-believe-it-could-become-true-in-the-future/

Image: https://scitechdaily.com/lies-that-might-eventually-come-true-people-willing-to-spread-misinformation-if-they-believe-it-could-become-true-in-the-future/

https://artificialintelligenceandindividuals.blogspot.com/

The embarrassing things and the Tor network are problematic to handle.

Many things, including Tor-network, are not purely good or bad. The Tor network offers the platform for telling things, prohibited in many countries. And that thing makes this network difficult to handle. When people are making things like legislation for the internet. They are balancing privacy and individual rights and control. The thing is that if something is prohibited. That just slips into the Tor network. 

The Tor network is the place that might feel safe. But there is the possibility that organizations like NSA or some other intelligence agencies are made trap pages or "honey pots" in that network. Those homepages include a so-called tracking cookie, that is sent to the receiving computer and that cookie tells the location and IP address of the computer by sending the data over the Tor connection. 

The same network that offers privacy is offering a platform for child abusers and drug dealers. And the fact is that the things like network pornography are embarrassing things for people who are playing with their attitudes and high moral things. When some people will justify something. They should understand. That when they are using the net somebody can walk behind them. 

So what would you think about the person who justifies things like pornography? But in that person's home is a room full of pornographic movies. That thing is a little bit embarrassing. Same way. When a person like a conservative "family man" is surprised watching child pornography, that thing can be a "little bit" embarrassing.  

The Tor network offers privacy and protects information. Privacy and information protection along with anonymity in the use of the internet are the key elements for protecting democracy. But those things are the most misused in the world. The Tor network is also the dark side of the internet. In the so-called darknet child abuse, drug dealers, and other kinds of marginal groups are found the place where those people can make their hobby. That is one of the saddest things on the internet. There should be limits to freedom. 

Things like pedophilia are the tabu. They are prohibited, and the problem is that many people are not confessing those things even to themselves. And then suddenly they see the homepage, where are shown those things. So that homepage can turn very often to the browser of that kind of people. So sooner or later somebody walks behind that person, and then some things that are not tolerated in a middle-class family are seen on that screen. 

The problem in western society is that people are hard to talk about their thoughts and "prohibited behavior". There is a high threshold to go to the doctor and ask about things like suspicion of pedophilia especially if the person is talking about themselves. That kind of thing might help, if a person gets support, therapy, and the right medical and maybe some child-abusing cases will not happen, if pedophiles dare to get help. And if some person is addicted to net pornography that disturbs the work that thing requires discussion. 

But the internet has brought hardcore porn and its byproducts to the front of people. And some of the things that are in the films and pictures are embarrassing. There might be middle-class conservative families' housemaids making something that is prohibited. 

The fact is that most of those people are full-aged and responsible for themselves.  But should we deny pornography? The fact is that this kind of thing just will slip to the Tor network where nobody can control it. The problem is that the wealthy pedophiles can travel to countries where is no legislation about those things. 

The internet brought many things that are prohibited in front of people. The crimes and wars including the Ukrainian war are now in front of our eyes. And sometimes, I wonder would there be sanctions against Russia if there is no internet? 

This is the problem with the internet and Tor-network. Tor network offers freedom and a channel to publish things that are not tolerated. The problem is that it's the platform for things like child abuse and drug dealers. 

https://www.msn.com/fi-fi/uutiset/other/toimittaja-p%C3%A4%C3%A4tyi-traumaterapiaan-tor-verkon-takia-paljastaa-nyt-uutuuskirjassaan-mit%C3%A4-pime%C3%A4ss%C3%A4-verkossa-todella-tapahtuu/ar-AAW9EFN?ocid=msedgdhp&pc=U531&cvid=cbab56f7cb59460eb68bf32d471a868e

Why didn't the Russian army not do its mission in Ukraine as it should?

We all see that Ukraine didn't fall in 96 hours. And the question is why that thing is happening. During the exercises, the operations are done well. But the flop is happening in the real mission. All Russian units including the famous Spetsnaz are not what they should be. So what is the problem? There are many possibilities for that kind of surprise.

One of them is what the Russian army didn't expect. Is that the Javelin missiles will be so effective. And the Russian military experts expected that they could shoot down Ukrainian drones and fighters down easily by using their most modern jet fighters. 

The other version is that the troops are not prepared for their mission. There is the possibility that the commandos didn't get vial information like what their target looks like. If the team's target is a command center they should know what that thing looks like. And of course, they must know where is the point where they should put the explosives. 

That lack of information can contain the scenario where paratroopers don't even know, that they are going to battle. This means that the leaders of those units just forget to tell them that there is a war where they are going. Or maybe some of those troops believed that Ukraine was surrendering. So they didn't expect what they will face. 

There is always the possibility that there were only the best teams in the exercise and the skills of regular teams are far lower than in those "show teams".  There is also the possibility that the commanders are not telling truth about their strike capacity. There is the possibility that some "old guys" are not done their exercises as they should. And of course, if we think that failure is not acceptable in those exercises and demonstrations. 

There is also the possibility that some commanders are used fraud in those pieces of training. That means that if the commander put the detonators or explosives on the targets and then launches them at the right moment that thing makes the effect that looks like a successful artillery strike. There is always some reason for the flops in real situations. 

Of course, things like foodservice are one of the most fatal things in combat missions. When military men are in the combat zone they need ammo supply but also food and something to drink. If there is no food the sugar level in the blood will decrease. And that thing makes operations very hard. 

The Javelin is one of the deadliest missiles in the world.

Image: FGM-148 Javelin (Wikipedia/FGM-148 Javelin)

The Javelin missile is one of the most powerful, man-portable fire-and-forget anti-tank missiles in the world. That missile is proven it's capacity at least in Ukraine. 

The missile has been a deadly surprise for tanks in the Ukraine conflict. And that is forcing strategists to rethink the use of tanks on the battlefield. The Javelin-type missiles are always similar. The operator of that missile takes an image of the target. The control unit sends the image to the missile. 

And then the missile will recognize the target. When the image that the camera on the nose of the missile matches with the image which is stored in the computer's memory. The idea for that system is taken from TERCOM-navigational systems where the cruise missile uses the aerial images for navigation to the target. 

The missile knows, that it's on the right route. The same guidance system can use also in larger anti-tank and other precision-guided systems. The larger and more effective "Spike"-type missiles can have similar guidance systems. 

The heavy anti-tank missile can destroy the main battle tank at least 5,5 km. away from the launching site. But also even intercontinental ballistic missiles can use the same type of guidance system. Where the missile homes to target by using the image that is taken from aircraft or satellites. 

There is the possibility that some aerial vehicle or scout takes an image of the target and sends it to the missile. Artificial intelligence will determine the shape of the target and then the heavy anti-tank missile can find the target. The images that those missiles use can preload to the guidance system. 

Similar image-guidance systems can use also in modern anti-aircraft, air-to-air, and air-to-ground missiles and other smart munitions like smart grenades and ICBM missiles. 

Also, things like killer satellites can use modified Javelin missiles. The system can use the plates that are pushed to exhaust gas of the missile to turn its route. The system can use electromagnetic or kinetic warheads for destroying other satellites. 

The remarkable thing about the Javelin missile is that it can also use against the aerial target but it can be a deadly surprise even to warships. The smart guidance system of Javelin makes it possible to aim that missile to radar antenna or missile tube of the warship. 

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/FGM-148_Javelin

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Spike_(missile)

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/TERCOM

Why do Russians have problems destroying Turkish-built drones?

Image) Baykar Bayraktar TB2 (Wikipedia/Baykar Bayraktar TB2)

The Russian-Ukrainian war predicted that Russia will win Ukraine in 96 hours. The reality might be different. The war carries on, and many other predictions are not matched with reality. This war has been a pain and nightmare for Russians. 

The drones are invisible and very frightening killers. That can use alone or with manned aircraft. The manned aircraft can drop drones to the operational areas. And then those drones can mark targets. Or they can attack against the targets. Long-range drones like Loyal wingmen can be equipped with warheads and they can hit against missiles. And especially the long-range anti-aircraft and tactical battlefield missile launchers. 

Many things are problematic in the Ukrainian war. The predictions are not matched with reality. But one of the questions is simple. Why Ukrainian drones are not as easy to destroy as they predicted? Those Baykar Bayraktar TB2 drones are predicted to be easy targets. But there is something why Russians are not made that thing? The Bayraktar-drones are not the most advanced systems in the world. They are classified as the 2nd or 3rd. class drones. 

That is sold for some 2nd or 3rd. class countries. The Turkish build drones are introduced as "easy to jam" systems that are not so multi-use and effective as manned aircraft. But those drones seem still flying and destroy the attackers. The ECM systems along with air defense missiles and AA-artillery are predicted to be the most effective counteractors against the drones. 

There are three possibilities for the jammer system's ineffectiveness against those drones. 

1) Russians have those systems, but they don't use them. 

2) Russians have those systems, but those systems are somewhere else

3) Russians have those systems, but they are ineffective. 

But how that thing can be possible? The fact is that even cheap drones can turn extremely dangerous very easily. Operators can change components and the computer programs of those systems without telling the manufacturer that modification. The Ukrainian war, or rather saying, Russian invasion to Ukraine shown, that predictions are dangerous. Putin overestimated his force. And now he will pay the price. 

Drones might be very unsportsmanlike. But those systems are effective. The purpose of the military is to be frightening. It must scare enemies that they are not attacking to country. The military is meant to be a tool in the hands of the country and government. And the drones are allowing that government can control those things easier than some special forces man. 

And the only purpose that force has is to destroy enemies. If there is a shame to be some drone operator that is good for government. The shame helps those people to keep their mouths shut. The reason why drones are in use in many countries. Is the problem to recruit people in special forces. 

Or actually, the problem is that there are very long service times for those operators. And the skills that are trained to them are causing those people to be hard to control. The drone operator is easier to control than traditional special forces operators. The only needed thing is to cut their connection with drones. 

The fact is that the new drones are bringing new doctrine to battlefields. There are two types of killer drones. The Bayraktar is a Predator-type unmanned quite complicated unmanned aircraft. 

Another type of those horrifying system is smaller and simpler kamikaze drones. Those kamikaze drones are cruise missiles that are used in many conflicts. The target drone is equipped with a camera and the warhead can use as a kamikaze drone. 

In traditional systems, the weakness is that the system requires all-time communication. The RPV controller orders that small cruise missile dive against its target. The target can be the tank, building, or some other suitable target. But there is the possibility that the kamikaze drones are also equipped with the IIR (Image InfraRed) or image recognition-based systems. When the drone recognizes its target it will dive and impact against them. 

The "mother of those systems" is the BGM-109 Tomahawk cruise missile. That well-known and deadly weapon is the BQM-109 target and recon drone that is equipped with conventional or nuclear warheads. After the success of the Tomahawk systems, the smaller drones are equipped with similar target recognition and attack systems. And the fact is that all target drones can equip with warheads. 

The threat is that terrorists can modify the flying assembly kits by using warheads. And that thing causes problems with national security. Drones are frightening and scary systems. The army of Azerbaijan used drones effectively against Armenian troops in their conflict. 

But they are effective. And that's why they are part of the arsenal of many nations. The success of Bayraktar TB2 in Ukraine and Azerbaijan guarantees good markets for those drones. The thing that makes the drones effective is that they can use against better-trained soldiers. The drone operator doesn't need military training at all. And that makes those people easier to control. There is always a risk that highly trained special forces operator turns against the authorities or regular people.

Drone operators might seem very unsportsmanlike. But armies are not made for sports they are made to afraid enemies. And one thing is that the control of those systems and men are the key element in military planning. The skills that are learned in armies. Are meant for serving their country and government. Military skills are not meant to use in some restaurants. The problem with special forces has been the long service times. When the service ends the serviceman must go and find a new profession. And that thing causes problems in civil life. 

https://nationalinterest.org/blog/buzz/ukraines-bayraktar-tb2-drones-are-wreaking-havoc-russian-vehicles-200986

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Tomahawk_(missile)

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Baykar_Bayraktar_TB2

Image:) https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Baykar_Bayraktar_TB2

How oligarchs can topple Putin without official authorities? (Earlier text continues)

The answer is that there is no official way how oligarchs can even topple Putin. The only thing that those people can make is hire contract killers. And that is the worst mistake that those people can do. If the FSB sees that kind of attempt. That thing causes very big troubles. Like ricin poisoning in the streets. 

The oligarchs cannot arrest Putin. They cannot give commands to FSB. Because those people are without official prerogatives they cannot do anything legally. There is no way to resist or even say something that Putin doesn't want to hear. The thing is that the three stages of oligarchs mean that there is no way to make connections with Putin without the middleman. 

The thing is that only the top oligarchs can speak straight with Putin. And the lower-level men must find somebody at a higher level to tell their business to Putin. That thing protects Putin very well against people who want to make something for him. Putin wanted to keep their distance from most oligarchs. But that thing doesn't mean that oligarchs are not under surveillance. 

And nobody allowed to speak against Putin. If some oligarch wants to operate against Putin that person must have access to talk straight with Putin. And what would you think to happen if some friend of Putin would uncover an attempt to topple him? That thing would be a big disappointment. And in that case, the threat to Putin would be personal and concreate. That thing makes Putin a frightening person. 

When we are thinking about the age of Vladimir Putin, nobody lives forever. That means that Putin might have 10-25 years of career before he turns too old being the leader of Russia. And if we think that Putin will rule Russia to the age of 95 all people will turn a little bit paranoid. So there is the possibility that when Putin turns old. That person might start to see conspiracies around him. And that thing can cause very bad problems with social relationships between Putin and his closest friends. 

https://thoughtandmachines.blogspot.com/

Why don't Russian oligarchs resist Putin?

The Kremlin in Moscow. (SciTech Daily/Meet Russia’s Oligarchs – A Group of Men Who Won’t Be Toppling Putin Anytime Soon)

Sometimes Russian oligarchs mean Soviet-born Russian entrepreneurs who made their property during the strong privatization era of Russia in the early 90s. Oligarch or Russian business elite are the people who are the most powerful private status in Russia. They are powerful actors in business life, but they have no official status in government. "Putin has kept most oligarchs at a distance – literally and figuratively". (SciTech Daily/Meet Russia’s Oligarchs – A Group of Men Who Won’t Be Toppling Putin Anytime Soon)

The mission of those people is to make money and pay taxes for Putin's government. Sometimes oligarchs are buying the property or shares of the high-tech companies for the FSB (Federal Security Service). The thing is that oligarch is a half-governmental actor. The person who is acting as a prime mover can look like some kind of entrepreneur. 

But the company and investments of that person are controlled by the FSB. And if that person would not cooperate the security service will confiscate that property without excuses. All oligarchs in Russia must thank Putin or somebody in his court for their position. The debt can be straight. Or it can be chained. And that guarantees the power of Putin and the FSB  to each of them. 

We always think that all oligarchs hate Putin. The fact is that oligarchs that are operating with things like Wagner Group are benefiting Putin's government. And those people are getting financial benefits and gifts for their loyalty to Putin. Oligarchs that have straight contact with Putin are under heavy guard of FSB. 

The mission of those agents that are playing their security officers is to report all possible actions against Putin to the chief of FSB or Putin himself. The thing that denies any plan is that the oligarchs are sometimes ordered to make some offers. And if those offers are not in reports the oligarch will get punishment. Another thing is that when an oligarch is outside Russia. The family of that person is in Russia as hostages. The SciTech Daily tells that There are three types of oligarchs. 

The thing is that even if the oligarch doesn't have a personal connection with Putin or FSB the security service is controlling everything and everybody in Russia. So if the FSB recommends some "services" like buying property for the Russian government for a safehouse or opening a bank account for security service the only accepted answer is "yes". 

The thing is that every oligarch is connected to the system. Their mission is to earn money for Putin and his government. The FSB asks their services for hiding that it is participating in the business. The Federal Protective Service or FSO is one of the organizations that are handling the "security" of those people. The official mission of that organization is the VIP-protection, but it also guards its "customers". So those people who are under the guard of FSO are in a golden jail. 

But also half-private contractors like Wagner Group are protecting oligarchs. Those mercenaries are working with the FSB. Without FSB there are no guns in the hands of those people. And also they are making reports for the FSB. The thing is that security personnel are also making sure that no oligarch will ever rebel or act against Putin. 

https://scitechdaily.com/meet-russias-oligarchs-a-group-of-men-who-wont-be-toppling-putin-anytime-soon/

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Federal_Protective_Service_(Russia)

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Federal_Security_Service

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Russian_oligarchs

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ukrainian_oligarch

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Text is taken from SciTech Daily (ScitechDaily/Meet Russia’s Oligarchs – A Group of Men Who Won’t Be Toppling Putin Anytime Soon)

Today, three types of oligarchs stand out in terms of their proximity to power.

First come Putin’s friends, who are personally connected to the president. Many of Putin’s close friends – particularly those from his St. Petersburg and KGB days – have experienced a meteoric rise to extreme wealth. A few of Putin’s closest oligarch friends from St. Petersburg are Yuri Kovalchuk, often referred to as Putin’s “personal banker”; Gennady Timchenko, whose key asset is the energy trading firm Gunvor; and the brothers Arkady and Boris Rotenberg, who own assets in construction, electricity, and pipelines. All of these individuals have been sanctioned.

The second group includes leaders of Russia’s security services, the police, and the military – known as “siloviki” – who have also leveraged their networks to amass extreme personal wealth. Some of these so-called “silovarchs”, are former KGB, and now FSB, intelligence officers who had eyed the Yeltsin-era oligarchs’ power and wealth jealously and obtained both under Putin. The man reputed to be the informal leader of the siloviki is Igor Sechin, chairman of oil giant Rosneft, widely seen as the second-most powerful person in Russia.

Finally, the largest number of Russian oligarchs are outsiders without personal connections to Putin, the military, or the FSB. Indeed, some current outsiders are the 1990s-era oligarchs. While Putin selectively crushed politically inconvenient or obstreperous oligarchs after coming to power, he did not seek to systematically “eliminate oligarchs as a class,” as he had promised during his initial election campaign. For example, oligarchs such as Vladimir Potanin and Oleg Deripaska, who accumulated their wealth in the 1990s, regularly feature in the lists of richest Russians today.

https://scitechdaily.com/meet-russias-oligarchs-a-group-of-men-who-wont-be-toppling-putin-anytime-soon/

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https://thoughtandmachines.blogspot.com/